NCAAFThu 6:30 PM CTProtective Stadium

East Carolina Pirates at UAB Blazers

10/15 - 7:30 PM EDT · ESPN

Computer pick · Spread
UAB +5.5
54%

ECU 26.53–21.02 UAB

East Carolina Pirates
3-2 · W3
124 PF · 113 PA
26.53
Projected
UAB Blazers
3-3 · L1 · computer pick
133 PF · 155 PA
21.02
ECU 63%UAB 37%

Projected ECU 26.53–21.02 UAB

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

ECU 26.53–21.02 UAB · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    UAB -14.6 vs ECU -3.9 · pred margin -5.5
  • Attack / defense
    UAB -2.5 off · ECU -0.8 off, shrunk 55%
  • Home field
    +3.0 pts to UAB
  • Record
    UAB 3-3 · ECU 3-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward ECU -5.5 / total 47.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Emory Williams
    Pass 50/77, 529 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
  • TJ Engleman Jr.
    Rush 45 CAR, 386 YDS, 3 TD
  • Ray Ray Joseph Jr.
    Rec 25 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD
  • Ryder Burton
    Pass 72/130, 922 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
  • Rod Robinson II
    Rush 93 CAR, 403 YDS
  • Ty Mims
    Rec 17 REC, 302 YDS, 1 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

ECUUAB
Points Per Game24.822.2
Total Yards344.0335.3
Yards Passing195.2155.8
Yards Rushing148.8179.5
Points Allowed Per Game22.625.8
Yards Allowed319.4316.8
Pass Yards Allowed172.6126.0
Rush Yards Allowed146.8190.8

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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