NCAAFThu 7:00 PM CTUFCU Stadium
Colorado State Rams at Texas State Bobcats
10/15 - 8:00 PM EDT · CBSSN
Computer pick · Total
Under 69.5
56%
CSU 29.09–41.52 TXST
Colorado State Rams
2-3 · L3
187 PF · 193 PA
29.09
Projected
Texas State Bobcats
2-3 · L1
174 PF · 166 PA
41.52
CSU 22%TXST 78%
Projected CSU 29.09–41.52 TXST
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The model
How this number was built
CSU 29.09–41.52 TXST · Medium confidence
Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexTXST -3.1 vs CSU -9.6 · pred margin +12.4
- Attack / defenseTXST +3.8 off · CSU +5.1 off, shrunk 50%
- Home field+3.0 pts to TXST
- RecordTXST 2-3 · CSU 2-3
- Market priorBlended 68% toward TXST -14.5 / total 70.5
Season leaders
K'saan FarrarPass 63/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Mel BrownRush 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD
RJ VickRec 24 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD
Brad JacksonPass 92/138, 1226 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT
Torrance Burgess Jr.Rush 84 CAR, 614 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Dawn Jr.Rec 24 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CSU | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 37.4 | 34.8 |
| Total Yards | 448.4 | 531.6 |
| Yards Passing | 273.2 | 268.0 |
| Yards Rushing | 175.2 | 263.6 |
| Points Allowed Per Game | 38.6 | 33.2 |
| Yards Allowed | 493.2 | 423.2 |
| Pass Yards Allowed | 264.6 | 300.4 |
| Rush Yards Allowed | 228.6 | 122.8 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.