NFLThu, 8:15 PM EDTEmpower Field at Mile High

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos

10/15 - 8:15 PM EDT · Prime Video

Computer pick · Spread
DEN +2.5
55%

SEA 21.36–19.60 DEN

Grok Expert · J. Smith-Njigba Under 92.5 rec yds

-110
Seattle Seahawks
3-2 · L1
134 PF · 105 PA
21.36
Projected
Denver Broncos
3-2 · W1 · computer pick
97 PF · 111 PA
19.60
SEA 55%DEN 45%

Projected SEA 21.36–19.60 DEN

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

SEA 21.36–19.60 DEN · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    DEN +1.5 vs SEA +3.5 · pred margin -1.8
  • Attack / defense
    DEN -1.2 off · SEA +2.1 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to DEN
  • Record
    DEN 3-2 · SEA 3-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward SEA -2.5 / total 40.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Sam Darnold
    Pass 63/98, 755 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT
  • Emanuel Wilson
    Rush 73 CAR, 251 YDS, 2 TD
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    Rec 37 REC, 583 YDS, 7 TD
  • Bo Nix
    Pass 97/162, 942 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
  • J.K. Dobbins
    Rush 64 CAR, 229 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jaylen Waddle
    Rec 18 REC, 204 YDS, 1 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

SEADEN
Points Per Game26.819.4
Total Yards344.2274.6
Yards Passing238.2188.4
Yards Rushing106.086.2
Points Allowed Per Game21.022.2
Yards Allowed267.2365.6
Pass Yards Allowed166.8220.4
Rush Yards Allowed100.4145.2

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

J. Smith-Njigba Under 92.5 rec yds

-11070%

Receiving yards · DraftKings

  • S. Darnold Over 2.5 car
    Carries · SEA
    -110
    64%
  • E. Wilson Over 1.5 rec
    Receptions · SEA
    -110
    62%
  • J.K. Dobbins Over 1.5 rec
    Receptions · DEN
    -110
    62%
  • B. Nix Over 4.5 car
    Carries · DEN
    -110
    62%
  • J. Smith-Njigba Under 6.5 rec
    Receptions · SEA
    -110
    60%
  • S. Darnold Over 4.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · SEA
    -110
    60%
  • J.K. Dobbins Over 4.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · DEN
    -110
    59%
  • B. Nix Over 199.5 pass yds
    Passing yards · DEN
    -110
    59%
  • E. Wilson Over 9.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · SEA
    -110
    59%
  • S. Darnold Over 220.5 pass yds
    Passing yards · SEA
    -110
    58%
  • B. Nix Over 15.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · DEN
    -110
    58%
Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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