NBAThu 7:30 PM CTToyota Center (Houston)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

10/15 - 8:30 PM EDT · NBA TV

Computer pick · Spread
HOU +3.5
53%

OKC 113.88–110.97 HOU

Oklahoma City Thunder
1-3 · W1
460 PF · 469 PA
113.88
Projected
Houston Rockets
1-1 · L1 · computer pick
250 PF · 249 PA
110.97
OKC 60%HOU 40%

Projected OKC 113.88–110.97 HOU

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

OKC 113.88–110.97 HOU · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    HOU +2.4 vs OKC +8.5 · pred margin -2.9
  • Attack / defense
    HOU +2.2 off · OKC -0.2 off, shrunk 17%
  • Home field
    +2.8 pts to HOU
  • Record
    HOU 1-1 · OKC 1-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 70% toward OKC -3.5 / total 224.5
Full write-up of the model

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

OKCHOU
STRKW1L1
OPP PPG117.3124.5
L101-31-1

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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