MLBThu 7:00 PM CTDodger Stadium
Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
10/15 - 8:00 PM EDT · FS1
Computer pick · Total
Over 7.5
54%
MIL 3.45–4.50 LAD
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Milwaukee Brewers
104-59 · W6
838 PF · 620 PA
3.45
Projected
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-63 · L1
803 PF · 606 PA
4.50
MIL 37%LAD 63%
Projected MIL 3.45–4.50 LAD · most likely 3–4
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Clear · 63° · 2.9 mph
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
The model
How this number was built
MIL 3.45–4.50 LAD · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseLAD +0.5 off · MIL +0.7 off, shrunk 88%
- Home field+0.1 runs to LAD
- RecordLAD 100-63 · MIL 104-59
- Market priorBlended 70% toward LAD -162 / total 7.5
Probable pitchers
MIL
TBD
LAD
Tyler Glasnow
1.93 ERA
Season leaders
Jackson ChourioAVG .291
Jake BauersHR 26
Brice TurangRBI 100- Brice Turangmlbrating 557.8
Freddie FreemanAVG .288
Shohei OhtaniHR 30
Andy PagesRBI 85- Shohei Ohtanimlbrating 533.5
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MIL | LAD | |
|---|---|---|
| Batting | ||
| R | 832 | 801 |
| H | 1422 | 1399 |
| RBI | 788 | 756 |
| HR | 154 | 204 |
| BB | 668 | 628 |
| K | 1383 | 1267 |
| SB | 162 | 72 |
| 2B | 279 | 266 |
| 3B | 26 | 18 |
| AB | 5502 | 5451 |
| AVG | .258 | .257 |
| OBP | .341 | .338 |
| SLG | .403 | .424 |
| OPS | .743 | .762 |
| SF | 45 | 49 |
| HBP | 40 | 68 |
| CS | 54 | 21 |
| XBH | 459 | 488 |
| PA | 6299 | 6214 |
| P | 25065 | 24417 |
| TB | 2215 | 2313 |
| GIDP | 99 | 128 |
| SH | 37 | 15 |
| IBB | 29 | 31 |
| Pitching | ||
| IP | 1446.2 | 1435.2 |
| H | 1186 | 1159 |
| R | 618 | 600 |
| ER | 565 | 566 |
| BB | 518 | 480 |
| K | 1544 | 1521 |
| HR | 171 | 172 |
| P | 23650 | 23193 |
| WHIP | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| ERA | 3.51 | 3.55 |
| TBF | 5991 | 5921 |
| WP | 51 | 39 |
| BK | 6 | 5 |
| BH | 67 | 68 |
| HLD | 87 | 102 |
| SV | 55 | 46 |
| BLSV | 21 | 23 |
| W | 103 | 100 |
| L | 59 | 62 |
| IR | 186 | 179 |
| IRS | 70 | 64 |
| Fielding | ||
| E | 72 | 64 |
| DP | 279 | 266 |
| A | 1269 | 1286 |
| PO | 4340 | 4307 |
| PB | 8 | 18 |
| CS | 54 | 21 |
| SBA | 162 | 72 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
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