Overline Sports
PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN119MIA1305:06NBACHA93BOS1140.0NBAPHX73SA912:34NBANO71DAL581:50NBACHI85MIL545:56NBADET86MIN724:18MLBMIL1LAD2Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 3:29NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH314:47NHLDAL0COL112:58MLSPHI1CHI150'MLSSEA0DAL053'MLSSKC0NSH353'MLSVAN0STL048'MLSMIN0COL012'MLSSJ0RSL012'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLMon, 8:15 PM EDTLevi's Stadium

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers

10/19 - 8:15 PM EDT · ESPN

Computer pick · Spread
WSH +7.5
55%

WSH 20.80–29.79 SF

Grok Expert · M. Evans Under 72.5 rec yds

-110
Washington Commanders
1-3-1 · computer pick
115 PF · 149 PA
20.80
Projected
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 · W5
154 PF · 93 PA
29.79
WSH 25%SF 75%

Projected WSH 20.80–29.79 SF

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

WSH 20.80–29.79 SF · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    SF +6.7 vs WSH -3.5 · pred margin +9.0
  • Attack / defense
    SF +4.5 off · WSH +0.0 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to SF
  • Record
    SF 5-0 · WSH 1-3-1
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward SF -7.5 / total 50.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Jayden Daniels
    Pass 46/76, 459 YDS, 3 TD
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt
    Rush 67 CAR, 239 YDS, 2 TD
  • Terry McLaurin
    Rec 14 REC, 203 YDS, 1 TD
  • Brock Purdy
    Pass 98/142, 1196 YDS, 13 TD, 2 INT
  • Christian McCaffrey
    Rush 61 CAR, 286 YDS, 5 TD
  • Mike Evans
    Rec 24 REC, 326 YDS, 3 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

WSHSF
Points Per Game23.030.8
Total Yards336.6367.8
Yards Passing197.0239.2
Yards Rushing139.6128.6
Points Allowed Per Game29.818.6
Yards Allowed364.2308.4
Pass Yards Allowed268.8210.8
Rush Yards Allowed95.497.6

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

M. Evans Under 72.5 rec yds

-11062%

Receiving yards · DraftKings

  • M. Evans anytime TD
    Anytime TD · SF
    -110
    68%
  • C. McCaffrey anytime TD
    Anytime TD · SF
    -110
    68%
  • B. Purdy anytime TD
    Anytime TD · SF
    -110
    68%
  • SF anytime TD
    Anytime TD · SF
    -110
    62%
  • WSH anytime TD
    Anytime TD · WSH
    -110
    62%
  • B. Purdy Over 17.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · SF
    -110
    59%
  • J. Croskey-Merritt Over 39.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · WSH
    -110
    59%
  • B. Purdy Under 268.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · SF
    -110
    58%
  • J. Daniels Over 202.5 pass yds
    Passing yards · WSH
    -110
    57%
  • T. McLaurin anytime TD
    Anytime TD · WSH
    -110
    55%
  • J. Daniels anytime TD
    Anytime TD · WSH
    -110
    55%