One locked player prop, every day

Prop of the Day

Grok ExpertWLWLW
ModelLost 4 straightWLLLL
🎯 Prop of the DayNBA · Points
R. Barrett

R. Barrett · TOR

Under 20.5-116

Points · NY @ TOR

Model 58%
DraftKings line & priceStarts Sun 5:00 PM CT
Overline Sports

Record

7-9-2

Voids

0

Units

-1.66u

Since

Oct 28, 2026

How it's picked

From Nov 1 2026 the headline prop is hand-picked by Grok Expert when one is locked (same rules: real DraftKings line and price −130 to +200, no scorer props, no injured players, soccer starters only); the model's prop keeps its own record below and on the Record page. Model pick: from the model's locked prop picks, today's game slate (start time 10 AM CT or later). The line and price must be posted by DraftKings, no worse than −130 (no anytime goal, TD or scorer props), and the player can't be listed Out, Doubtful, Questionable or day-to-day. Confidence counts up to 60% at most, then we lean on the markets our props have graded best in. Ranked by calibrated edge over the posted price. Once picked it's locked. If the player doesn't play, it's a void. 1 unit risked at the posted price, graded off official box scores.

Best-grading prop markets so far: Passing yards under (3-0) · Receiving yards under (14-9) · Assists under (4-2) · Points under (30-24) · Earned runs under (1-0)

Grok Expert props

Nov 14Rudy Gobert under 10.5 Points (-110 DK)
CHI @ MIN · Sat 7:00 PM CT · actual 1
W+0.91u
Nov 13Jalen Johnson under 9.5 Rebounds (-123 DK)
ATL @ CHI · Fri 7:00 PM CT · actual 11
L-1.00u
Nov 12Jaden McDaniels over 5.5 Rebounds (+100 DK)
DAL @ MIN · Thu 7:00 PM CT · actual 9
W+1.00u
Nov 11Wendell Carter Jr. over 8.5 Rebounds (-125 DK)
ORL @ UTAH · Wed 8:00 PM CT · actual 7
L-1.00u
Nov 10Tyrese Maxey over 23.5 Points (-120 DK)
BOS @ PHI · Tue 7:00 PM CT · actual 24
W+0.83u
Nov 9Draymond Green under 5.5 Points (-103 DK)
NO @ GS · Mon 9:00 PM CT · actual 2
W+0.97u
Nov 8Cade Cunningham under 8.5 Assists (+112 DK)
LAL @ DET · Sun 5:00 PM CT · actual 8
W+1.12u
Nov 7Alperen Sengun over 6.5 Assists (-125 DK)
HOU @ PHX · Sat 8:00 PM CT · actual 5
L-1.00u
Nov 6Luka Doncic over 34.5 Points (-118 DK)
POR @ LAL · Fri 9:00 PM CT · actual 53
W+0.85u
Nov 5Franz Wagner over 6.5 Assists (-119 DK)
ORL @ PHX · Thu 8:00 PM CT · actual 15
W+0.84u
Nov 4Tyrese Maxey over 23.5 Points (-113 DK)
PHI @ DET · Wed 6:00 PM CT · actual 19
L-1.00u
Nov 3Jackson LaCombe under 1.5 Shots (-110 DK)
ANA @ VAN · Tue 8:00 PM CT · actual 0
W+0.91u
Nov 2Domantas Sabonis over 13.5 Rebounds (-104 DK)
SAC @ DAL · Mon 7:00 PM CT · actual 7
L-1.00u
Nov 1Scottie Barnes under 5.5 Assists (-120 DK)
TOR @ LAL · Sun 8:00 PM CT · actual 5
W+0.83u

Model props

Nov 15R. Barrett under 20.5 Points (-116 DK)
NY @ TOR · Sun 5:00 PM CT
—
Nov 14L. Stankoven under 2.5 Shots (-120 DK)
SEA @ CAR · Sat 12:00 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 13Z. Williamson under 21.5 Points (-108 DK)
MEM @ NO · Fri 7:00 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 12C. Cunningham under 23.5 Points (-107 DK)
DET @ WSH · Thu 6:00 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 11V. Wembanyama under 30.5 Points (-118 DK)
SA @ CHI · Wed 7:00 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 10J. Tatum under 26.5 Points (-112 DK)
BOS @ PHI · Tue 7:00 PM CT
W+0.89u
Nov 9C. Cunningham under 25.5 Points (-108 DK)
WSH @ DET · Mon 6:00 PM CT
W+0.93u
Nov 8K. Irving under 20.5 Points (-104 DK)
BKN @ DAL · Sun 6:30 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 7S. Dimitrievski over 4.5 Saves (-105 DK)
RMA @ VAL · Sat 2:00 PM CT
W+0.95u
Nov 6S. Hidalgo over 3.5 Shots (+100 DK)
STR @ TOU · Fri 1:45 PM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 5O. Baumann over 3.5 Saves (+105 DK)
TSG @ CRY · Thu 11:45 AM CT
W+1.05u
Nov 4A. Brignoli over 5.5 Saves (+130 DK)
RMA @ AEK · Wed 11:45 AM CT
L-1.00u
Nov 3D. Takac over 4.5 Saves (+115 DK)
SLB @ LAS · Tue 2:00 PM CT
P0.00u
Nov 2S. James over 5.5 Points (+101 DK)
DET @ CHA · Mon 6:30 PM CT
W+1.01u
Nov 1C. Acevedo over 3.5 Saves (+165 DK)
NCX @ SAN · Sun 5:00 PM CT
W+1.65u
Oct 31D. Padelli over 3.5 Saves (-120 DK)
ROMA @ UDI · Sat 12:00 PM CT
P0.00u
Oct 30J. Hart over 10.5 Points (-104 DK)
NY @ PHI · Fri 6:30 PM CT
L-1.00u
Oct 29P. Achiuwa over 10.5 Points (-116 DK)
SAC @ NO · Thu 7:00 PM CT
W+0.86u
Oct 28V. Wembanyama under 25.5 Points (-123 DK)
SA @ UTAH · Wed 8:00 PM CT
L-1.00u
Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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