Montenegro at Cyprus
TV · FS2
@Model projects MNE 1.40 – 1.11 CYP · below the strong-play bar (edge -5.4%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
N. Krstovic · MNE
ForwardM. Edwards · CYP
Forward
Prop lean · N. Krstovic anytime goal · 26% · informational
At lock: projected MNE 1.40–1.11 CYP · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
MNE 1.40–1.11 CYP · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseCYP -0.1 off · MNE +0.3 off, shrunk 56%
- Home field+0.2 goals to CYP
- RecordCYP 2-2-1 · MNE 4-1-0
- Market priorBlended 68% toward MNE +130 / total 2.5
Season leaders
- Nikola Krstovicgoals 3
- Nikola Krstovicgoalsleaders 3
- Marcus Edwardsgoals 2
- Marcus Edwardsgoalsleaders 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MNE | CYP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 7 | -1 |
| Total Goals | 15 | 9 |
| Assists | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 10 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
- N. Krstovic anytime goalAnytime goal · MNE+19526%
- M. Osmajic anytime goalAnytime goal · MNE+27519%
- M. Edwards anytime goalAnytime goal · CYP+33015%
- S. Haksabanovic anytime goalAnytime goal · MNE+42511%
- V. Adzic anytime goalAnytime goal · MNE+5009%
- A. Bulatovic anytime goalAnytime goal · MNE+5507%
Montenegro vs Cyprus prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects Montenegro 1.4, Cyprus 1.1. Model win probability: Cyprus 30%, Montenegro 44%, draw 27%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: Nations picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day