Sabah FK at Viking FK
FT
1–4
At lock: projected SAB 1.20–2.48 VFK
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 3, 3:56 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2013734408
- Winner: Viking FK (66%)
- Spread: SAB +1.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Under 3.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SAB 1.20–2.48 VFK · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseVFK +0.0 off · SAB -0.2 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+0.3 goals to VFK
- RecordVFK 1-1-2 · SAB 1-0-3
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| VFK | 1 | 3 | 4 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 11'
Goal! Viking 0, Sabah 1. Orphé Mbina (Sabah) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Umarali Rakhmonaliev following a fast break.
- GOAL1H 27'
Goal! Viking 1, Sabah 1. Erik Botheim (Viking) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Kristoffer Haugen with a cross.
- GOAL2H 69'
Goal! Viking 2, Sabah 1. Zlatko Tripic (Viking) right footed shot from very close range to the bottom right corner following a set piece situation.
- GOAL2H 81'
Goal! Viking 3, Sabah 1. Henrik Falchener (Viking) header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Zlatko Tripic with a cross following a corner.
- GOAL2H 90'+4'
Goal! Viking 4, Sabah 1. Erik Botheim (Viking) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the high centre of the goal. Assisted by Peter Christiansen.
Game leaders
- Tymoteusz Puchacztotalshots 3
- Ivan LepinjicaPass 51
- Steve Solvetdefensiveinterventions 14
- Stas PokatilovSV 4
- Zlatko Tripictotalshots 5
- Gianni StensnessPass 56
- Kristoffer Askildsendefensiveinterventions 14
- Arild ØstbøSV 3
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SAB | VFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards | 1 | 0 |
| Offsides | 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks | 6 | 10 |
| Saves | 4 | 3 |
| Possession | 49.5 | 50.5 |
| SHOTS | 16 | 21 |
| ON GOAL | 4 | 8 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 1 |
| Accurate Passes | 370 | 372 |
| Passes | 462 | 457 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Accurate Crosses | 2 | 10 |
| Crosses | 11 | 31 |
| Cross % | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Long Balls | 61 | 55 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 34 | 26 |
| Long Balls % | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Blocked Shots | 6 | 6 |
| Effective Tackles | 6 | 11 |
| Tackles | 9 | 17 |
| Tackle % | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 18 |
| Effective Clearances | 27 | 12 |
| Clearances | 27 | 12 |
At lock SAB 1.20–2.48 VFK · 0.2 goals over 3.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitProp E. Botheim · VFK
E. Botheim Over 3.5 shotsT. Puchacz · SAB
DefenderI. Lepinjica · SAB
MidfielderS. Solvet · SAB
DefenderS. Pokatilov · SAB
GoalkeeperZ. Tripic · VFK
Forward
Data-Driven Pick · E. Botheim Over 3.5 shots
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SAB vs VFK pick result · Nov 4, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 3.5, with a 52% model probability — it won.
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