NHLFinalRogers Arena

New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks

Final · ESPN+

5–1

RangersCanucks

Final

Shot chart · 6 goals (G)

New York Rangers

12-8-1 · W2

64 PF · 57 PA

Final

Vancouver Canucks

3-17-1 · L7

57 PF · 95 PA

NYR 69%VAN 31%

At lock: projected NYR 3.84–2.54 VAN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3470443262

Called it

Most typical sim

NYR 4 – VAN 3

Final

NYR 5 – VAN 1

Winner: Rangers (70%)
Spread: VAN +1.5 covers (54%)
Total: Under 6.5 (50%)
Score error (both teams)3

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
F. Hronek shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
Z. Buium shots on goal	—	1	0	off -1
V. Gavrikov shots on goal	—	1	0	off -1
A. Fox shots on goal	—	1	3	off 2

Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: NYR vs VAN

The model

How this number was built

NYR 3.84–2.54 VAN · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. goals -1.39 vs +0.16 · adj. shots -5.2 vs -2.0 · back-to-back: VAN, NYR · model VAN 2.6–3.7 NYR
Home field
+0.2 goals to VAN
Record
VAN 3-17-1 · NYR 12-8-1
Market prior
Blended 63% toward NYR -205 / total 6.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	P1	P2	P3	T
NYR	1	4	0	5
VAN	1	0	0	1

How the goals went in

GOAL1st 12:130–1
Elias Pettersson Goal (5) Tip-In, assists: Zeev Buium (5), Brock Boeser (11)
GOAL1st 18:471–1
Gabe Perreault Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Alexis Lafrenière (12), J.T. Miller (11)
GOAL2nd 8:212–1
Oliver Bjorkstrand Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: J.T. Miller (12), Adam Fox (21)
GOAL2nd 13:003–1
Glenn Gawdin Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: none
GOAL2nd 15:144–1
Alexis Lafrenière Goal (10) Backhand, assists: Mika Zibanejad (14), Gabe Perreault (4)
GOAL2nd 16:105–1
Glenn Gawdin Goal (2) Deflected, assists: Vladislav Gavrikov (6), Jaroslav Chmelar (1)

Lean · TotalNot a strong playHit

Under 6.5

-115 at lock51%

Model projected NYR 3.84 – 2.54 VAN at lock · edge -2.3%; totals in this league aren't strong-play markets · informational lean, not a recommended bet

Players

Prop B. Boeser · VAN
1 S · under 1.5
O. Bjorkstrand · NYR
Forward
A. Fox · NYR
1 BS
Z. Buium · VAN
1 BS · 1 HT
D. Garand · NYR
1 GA · 28 SA
L. Merilainen · VAN
5 GA · 30 SA

Data-Driven Pick · B. Boeser Under 1.5 SOG

Strong play-115Hit

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Rangers vs Canucks pick result · Nov 13, 2026

Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day