Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken
Final · NHL Net
4–1Shot chart · 5 goals (G)
At lock: projected CAR 3.97–2.51 SEA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 11, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 168598154
- Winner: Hurricanes (73%)
- Spread: SEA +1.5 covers (51%)
- Total: Over 6.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)2
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Dunn shots on goal | — | 2 | 1 | off -1 |
| B. Montour shots on goal | — | 2 | 2 | off 0 |
| K. Miller shots on goal | — | 1 | 1 | off 0 |
| J. Slavin shots on goal | — | 1 | 1 | off 0 |
Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CAR vs SEA
The model
How this number was built
CAR 3.97–2.51 SEA · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. goals -0.44 vs +1.01 · adj. shots -7.3 vs +2.8 · back-to-back: SEA, CAR · model SEA 2.4–3.9 CAR
- Home field+0.2 goals to SEA
- RecordSEA 9-7-1 · CAR 15-3-2
- Market priorBlended 64% toward CAR -305 / total 6.5
Line score
| P1 | P2 | P3 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How the goals went in
GOAL1st 11:441–0Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: K'Andre Miller (6), Logan Stankoven (8)
- GOAL1st 12:502–0
Sebastian Aho Goal (11) Tip-In, assists: Jackson Blake (15), Nikolaj Ehlers (12)
- GOAL2nd 9:343–0
Juuso Valimaki Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Logan Stankoven (9)
- GOAL3rd 11:414–0
Sebastian Aho Goal (12) Slap Shot, assists: K'Andre Miller (7), Andrei Svechnikov (10)
GOAL3rd 13:154–1Freddy Gaudreau Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Mackie Samoskevich (6)
Model projected CAR 3.97 – 2.51 SEA at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop J. Eberle · SEA
0 S · under 1.5S. Aho · CAR
1 TKM. Beniers · SEA
1 TKJ. Chatfield · CAR
1 TKV. Dunn · SEA
3 BS · 1 TKB. Bussi · CAR
1 GA · 13 SA
Data-Driven Pick · J. Eberle Under 1.5 SOG
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Hurricanes vs Kraken pick result · Nov 12, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day