Dartmouth Big Green at Princeton Tigers
Final · ESPN+
14–21
At lock: projected DART 20.85–20.85 PRIN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:38 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1639953505
- Winner: Princeton (58%)
- Score error (both teams)20
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: DART vs PRIN
The model
How this number was built
DART 20.85–20.85 PRIN · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defensePRIN +0.4 off · DART +0.1 off, shrunk 58%
- Home field+3.0 pts to PRIN
- RecordPRIN 6-2 · DART 4-4
- Market priorBlended 67% toward DART -1.5 / total 41.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| PRIN | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
How the points were scored
- TDQ1 11:010–7
Wyatt Becker 8 Yd Run (Esteban Nunez Perez Kick)
- TDQ1 2:230–14
Eli Friend 1 Yd Run (Esteban Nunez Perez Kick)
- TDQ2 10:240–21
Josh Robinson 23 Yd pass from Ty Ciongoli (Esteban Nunez Perez Kick)
- TDQ2 6:357–21
Jacob Henry 2 Yd Run (Owen Zalc Kick)
- TDQ4 7:3714–21
Grayson Saunier 2 Yd Run (Owen Zalc Kick)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
Passing
| DART | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | adjQBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grayson Saunier #16 | 22/31 | 262 | 8.5 | 0 | 2 | — |
| Team | 22/31 | 262 | 8.5 | 0 | 2 | — |
Rushing
| DART | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Henry #32 | 14 | 51 | 3.6 | 1 | 11 |
 Dylan Elder #6 | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 0 | 11 |
Grayson Saunier #16 | 13 | 18 | 1.4 | 1 | 12 |
 Noah Trigueros #18 | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 39 | 106 | 2.7 | 2 | 12 |
Receiving
| DART | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ian Scott #4 | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 0 | 35 |
 Kristian Strong #88 | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 0 | 36 |
 Ky'Dric Fisher #7 | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 | 15 |
 Nick Lemon #2 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 13 |
Jacob Henry #32 | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | 16 |
 Cameron Bates #84 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 12 |
Dylan Elder #6 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 11 |
 Jason Bish #80 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 16 |
 Kyle Meier #17 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 10 |
| Team | 22 | 262 | 11.9 | 0 | 36 |
Fumbles
| DART | FUM | LOST | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
Noah Trigueros #18 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| DART | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HUR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cameron Best-Alston #1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Steve Simpkins Jr #0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Harrison Keith #24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 No'Koi Maddox #3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Chester #52 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jorden Barnes #21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Keoni Perkins #97 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Boydell #54 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Bruce Williams #95 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Joshua Johnson #44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Gavin King #48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Quinn Enguita #92 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Samuel Washington #22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jackson Ashford #98 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Colter Vela #20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Johnny Stephens #9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Chol #96 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Taylor Faalele #90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Niquis Ratcliff #5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Matisse Brosseau #45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 JJ Bolz #49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 56 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Interceptions
| DART | INT | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|
Johnny Stephens #9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| DART | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Owen Zalc #35 | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2 |
| Team | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2 |
Punting
| DART | NO | YDS | AVG | TB | In 20 | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Armistead #15 | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Team | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DART | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Downs | 20 | 20 |
| 3rd down efficiency | 5-15 | 6-11 |
| 4th down efficiency | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Total Yards | 368 | 352 |
| Passing | 262 | 199 |
| Comp/Att | 22/31 | 14/21 |
| Yards per pass | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| Rushing | 106 | 153 |
| Rushing Attempts | 39 | 35 |
| Yards per rush | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Penalties | 6-45 | 4-25 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 31:42 | 28:18 |
At lock DART 20.85–20.85 PRIN · PRIN by 0.0 pts vs PRIN +1.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitGrayson Saunier · DART
22/31 C/ATT · 262 YDSTy Ciongoli · PRIN
7/13 C/ATT · 119 YDSJacob Henry · DART
14 CAR · 51 YDSKaio Agudinho De Oliveira · PRIN
15 CAR · 61 YDSIan Scott · DART
2 REC · 49 YDSJosh Robinson · PRIN
5 REC · 90 YDS
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Dartmouth vs Princeton pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is PRIN +1.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAF picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day