#19 Ole Miss Rebels at Oklahoma Sooners
TV · SEC Network
@Model projects MISS 23.93 – 24.92 OU · below the strong-play bar (edge +0.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Projected prop · Trinidad Chambliss (MISS) 262.11 pass yds · 262.11 pass yds/game this season
At lock: projected MISS 23.93–24.92 OU
Model vs market
Gap: -4.4 margin, +0.6 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: MISS vs OU
Ole Miss vs Oklahoma prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects Ole Miss 23.9, Oklahoma 24.9. Model win probability: Oklahoma 52%, Ole Miss 48%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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