Portland Pilots at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Final · MW+
73–66Last shot · Tanner Cuff makes 24-foot three point jumper (Chance Trujillo assists)
At lock: projected PORT 77.04–83.29 HAW
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 395452695
- Winner: Hawai'i (71%)
- Spread: PORT +8.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Over 156.5 (72%)
- Score error (both teams)22
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
PORT 77.04–83.29 HAW · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseHAW +5.4 off · PORT +20.4 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to HAW
- RecordHAW 3-1 · PORT 3-1
- Market priorBlended 83% toward HAW -7.5 / total 157.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 40 | 33 | 73 |
| HAW | 36 | 30 | 66 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1665–59
Tanner Cuff makes 26-foot three point jumper (Tiger Cuff assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5667–59
James O'Donnell makes layup (Jaxon Olvera assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5468–59
Kaia Isaac makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5469–59
Kaia Isaac makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3969–60
Bol Dengdit makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3969–61
Bol Dengdit makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2170–61
Dante Censori-Hercules makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2171–61
Dante Censori-Hercules makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1271–63
Chance Trujillo makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:1072–63
Dante Censori-Hercules makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1073–63
Dante Censori-Hercules makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0573–66
Tanner Cuff makes 24-foot three point jumper (Chance Trujillo assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PORT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 T. George F · #3 | 23 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
 J. O'Donnell F · #14 | 38 | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
 R. Parker G · #11 | 31 | 14 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Olvera G · #10 | 31 | 12 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 H. Adam G · #12 | 35 | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 K. Isaac G · #6 | 12 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 D. Censori-Hercules G · #5 | 18 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 RJ Nance Jr. G · #1 | 12 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 H. Sewell F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 O. Sukur F · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 V. Perkovic F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Moran G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Foxwell G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Moreira G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Briggs G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 73 | 22-43 | 8-19 | 21-24 | 35 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PORT | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-43 | 25-70 |
| FG% | 51 | 36 |
| 3PT | 8-19 | 9-32 |
| 3P% | 42 | 28 |
| FT | 21-24 | 7-14 |
| FT% | 88 | 50 |
| REB | 35 | 32 |
| OR | 3 | 15 |
| DR | 32 | 17 |
| AST | 11 | 14 |
| STL | 4 | 6 |
| BLK | 5 | 1 |
| TO | 14 | 4 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 4 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 8 |
| FBPs | 4 | 3 |
| PIP | 16 | 26 |
| PF | 20 | 21 |
| LL | 11 | 5 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 83 | 16 |
At lock PORT 77.04–83.29 HAW · HAW by 6.3 pts vs PORT +8.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitT. George · PORT
23 MIN · 6 PTSZ. Davidson · HAW
31 MIN · 18 PTSTanner Cuff · HAW
STAT · 38 MIN · 22 PTS · 7-15 FG · 6-11 3PTJames O'Donnell · PORT
STAT · 38 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-9 FG · 6-6 FTBol Dengdit · HAW
STAT · 36 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-2 3PTRiley Parker · PORT
STAT · 31 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-9 FG · 4-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Portland vs Hawai'i pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is PORT +8.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day