Robert Morris Colonials at UIC Flames
Final · ESPN+
56–79Last shot · Darius Livingston makes 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected RMU 65.96–77.22 UIC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 4:14 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2000839208
- Winner: UIC (84%)
- Spread: UIC -10.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 143.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RMU 65.96–77.22 UIC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUIC +19.1 off · RMU +2.8 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UIC
- RecordUIC 2-0 · RMU 0-2
- Market priorBlended 71% toward UIC -10.5 / total 142.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RMU | 32 | 24 | 56 |
| UIC | 30 | 49 | 79 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4248–72
Mekhi Lowery makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 3:4248–73
Mekhi Lowery makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 3:3249–73
KJ Garris Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:3250–73
KJ Garris Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0750–74
Benny Gealer makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0750–75
Benny Gealer makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4650–76
Elijah Garrett makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1850–79
Dikembe Shaw makes 22-foot three point jumper (Benny Gealer assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:5551–79
Samuel Obenjo makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5552–79
Samuel Obenjo makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5253–79
Ta'Zir Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1556–79
Darius Livingston makes 23-foot three point jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RMU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KC Ugwuakazi F · #23 | 26 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 KJ Garris Jr. G · #22 | 24 | 11 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
 E. Cooke III G · #5 | 29 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 T. Smith G · #3 | 26 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Valentine G · #1 | 32 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 S. Obenjo F · #13 | 25 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 W. Occomy G · #4 | 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Livingston G · #12 | 28 | 9 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 B. Oderinlo F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Stolbetskiy F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Dunkley F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Donovan G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Bozhinovski G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Parlow G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Sloane G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 56 | 19-48 | 8-24 | 10-13 | 27 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RMU | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-48 | 29-60 |
| FG% | 40 | 48 |
| 3PT | 8-24 | 9-21 |
| 3P% | 33 | 43 |
| FT | 10-13 | 12-21 |
| FT% | 77 | 57 |
| REB | 27 | 31 |
| OR | 7 | 9 |
| DR | 20 | 22 |
| AST | 16 | 17 |
| STL | 5 | 13 |
| BLK | 1 | 5 |
| TO | 20 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 4 |
| ToTO | 20 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 3 | 23 |
| FBPs | 0 | 11 |
| PIP | 20 | 38 |
| PF | 18 | 17 |
| LL | 7 | 29 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 22 | 66 |
At lock RMU 65.96–77.22 UIC · UIC by 11.3 pts vs UIC -10.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitKC Ugwuakazi · RMU
26 MIN · 8 PTSJ. Nathaniel · UIC
26 MIN · 6 PTSRashund Washington Jr. · UIC
STAT · 28 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-13 FG · 3-4 3PTAhmad Henderson II · UIC
STAT · 26 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-9 FG · 3-4 3PTKJ Garris Jr. · RMU
STAT · 24 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-4 3PTBenny Gealer · UIC
STAT · 23 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-9 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Robert Morris vs UIC pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UIC -10.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day