La Salle Explorers at Houston Cougars
Final · CBSSN
55–94Last shot · RJ Smith makes driving layup
At lock: projected LAS 56.31–82.15 HOU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2489865300
- Winner: Houston (99%)
- Spread: LAS +29.5 covers (62%)
- Total: Over 137.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LAS 56.31–82.15 HOU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseHOU +0.0 off · LAS +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to HOU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward HOU -29.5 / total 134.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAS | 23 | 32 | 55 |
| HOU | 43 | 51 | 94 |
Scoring plays
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 6:1749–81
Braden East makes 0-foot tip in dunk
- FT2nd Half 6:0649–82
Dedan Thomas Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4049–85
Kordel Jefferson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Corey Hadnot II assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1149–88
Kordel Jefferson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Braden East assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3649–90
Corey Hadnot II makes 13-foot jumper (Kordel Jefferson assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3749–92
Corey Hadnot II makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 3:1350–92
Bowyn Beatty makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:1351–92
Bowyn Beatty makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:5152–92
Bowyn Beatty makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3652–94
Djafar Silimana makes layup (Corey Hadnot II assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:1953–94
Francois Nkoy-Eale makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2855–94
RJ Smith makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LAS | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Finkley F · #5 | 23 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 N. Collier F · #7 | 11 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 J. Johnson G · #10 | 25 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 K. Burton G · #0 | 29 | 15 | 4-12 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 R. Dockery G · #2 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 F. Nkoy-Eale F · #12 | 13 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Beatty F · #25 | 17 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
 V. Zanki F · #11 | 14 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 B. Webb G · #21 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 RJ Smith G · #3 | 15 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Booker G · #4 | 26 | 12 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 T. Moss G · #8 | 19 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
R R. Smith F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. Mboudjika F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Lipacis F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Rink F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Brewer Jr. F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Lynam G · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Masharaliyev G · #28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 15-60 | 8-39 | 17-23 | 32 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 27 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LAS | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 15-60 | 31-57 |
| FG% | 25 | 54 |
| 3PT | 8-39 | 5-14 |
| 3P% | 21 | 36 |
| FT | 17-23 | 27-37 |
| FT% | 74 | 73 |
| REB | 32 | 47 |
| OR | 13 | 13 |
| DR | 19 | 34 |
| AST | 11 | 21 |
| STL | 6 | 11 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 19 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 2 |
| ToTO | 19 | 13 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 25 |
| FBPs | 5 | 13 |
| PIP | 10 | 44 |
| PF | 27 | 21 |
| LL | 0 | 43 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock LAS 56.31–82.15 HOU · HOU by 25.8 pts vs LAS +29.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Finkley · LAS
23 MIN · 6 PTSD. Gillespie · HOU
22 MIN · 13 PTSDedan Thomas Jr. · HOU
STAT · 27 MIN · 16 PTS · 2-7 FG · 1-2 3PTKam Burton · LAS
STAT · 29 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-12 FG · 4-12 3PTCorey Hadnot II · HOU
STAT · 22 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-4 3PTDevin Booker · LAS
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-12 FG · 1-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
La Salle vs Houston pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LAS +29.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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