Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Texas State Bobcats
Final
55–67Last shot · Kaden Gumbs misses 28-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected AMCC 66.63–76.13 TXST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2874726065
- Winner: Texas St (80%)
- Spread: AMCC +10.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 142.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
AMCC 66.63–76.13 TXST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTXST +0.0 off · AMCC +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TXST
- Market priorBlended 86% toward TXST -10.5 / total 142.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMCC | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| TXST | 35 | 32 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:0349–56
Daniel Michelini-Jackson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Beau Billingsley assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:4249–57
Robert Fields makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1051–57
Khi Wallace makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4651–59
Paul Djobet makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0451–61
DJ Hall makes 9-foot hook shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4453–61
Khi Wallace makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:1853–62
DJ Hall makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1853–63
DJ Hall makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5455–63
Desmond Kent Jr. makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:3955–65
Robert Fields makes 1-foot dunk (DJ Hall assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:4555–66
Robert Fields makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4555–67
Robert Fields makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| AMCC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Basil F · #22 | 17 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 D. Mukuna F · #3 | 22 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 D. Michelini-Jackson G · #10 | 23 | 10 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. Wheatfall G · #4 | 16 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 S. Robinson G · #1 | 11 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 CJ Worsham F · #42 | 24 | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 K. Wallace F · #7 | 15 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
 D. Kent Jr. G · #12 | 27 | 13 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. Billingsley G · #5 | 13 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Winston G · #2 | 16 | 4 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 I. Lewis G · #9 | 12 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Mizell G · #0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Foon C · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ambrose C · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Jones G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Horton G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 21-51 | 3-17 | 10-14 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AMCC | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-51 | 24-49 |
| FG% | 41 | 49 |
| 3PT | 3-17 | 4-13 |
| 3P% | 18 | 31 |
| FT | 10-14 | 15-21 |
| FT% | 71 | 71 |
| REB | 27 | 26 |
| OR | 10 | 8 |
| DR | 17 | 18 |
| AST | 6 | 13 |
| STL | 5 | 7 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 15 | 12 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 15 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 14 |
| FBPs | 4 | 8 |
| PIP | 30 | 30 |
| PF | 21 | 18 |
| LL | 0 | 15 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock AMCC 66.63–76.13 TXST · TXST by 9.5 pts vs AMCC +10.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissB. Basil · AMCC
17 MIN · 0-2 FGDJ Hall · TXST
33 MIN · 18 PTSRobert Fields · TXST
STAT · 31 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-8 FG · 4-6 FTDesmond Kent Jr. · AMCC
STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-8 FG · 0-1 3PTDaniel Michelini-Jackson · AMCC
STAT · 23 MIN · 10 PTS · 2-6 FG · 2-5 3PTCJ Worsham · AMCC
STAT · 24 MIN · 9 PTS · 4-4 FG · 1-2 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Texas A&M-CC vs Texas St pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is AMCC +10.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day