Houston Christian Huskies at Western Illinois Leathernecks
Final · ESPN+
74–67Last shot · Abdoulaye Konate makes 0-foot tip in layup
At lock: projected HCU 72.58–64.02 WIU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 12:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 818777366
- Winner: Hou Christian (77%)
- Spread: WIU +9.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 136.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)4
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
HCU 72.58–64.02 WIU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWIU +17.1 off · HCU +26.2 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WIU
- RecordWIU 0-2 · HCU 2-0
- Market priorBlended 71% toward HCU -9.5 / total 136.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| WIU | 31 | 36 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4066–60
Danny Stephens makes driving layup (Jack Riley assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1468–60
Esyah Pippa-White makes 20-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 4:2968–61
Davee Flowers makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2968–62
Davee Flowers makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:0870–62
Kris Keinys makes 9-foot dunk (Bubz Alvarez assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:3470–63
Makai Kvamme makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4670–65
Makai Kvamme makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:4371–65
Max Alexander makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4372–65
Max Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2473–65
Bubz Alvarez makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2474–65
Bubz Alvarez makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:1074–67
Abdoulaye Konate makes 0-foot tip in layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| HCU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Mara F · #21 | 18 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 K. Keinys F · #8 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 M. Alexander PG · #1 | 21 | 12 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Samuels G · #5 | 9 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Mubiru G · #11 | 30 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 A. Miller F · #23 | 4 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 S. Simmons II F · #13 | 16 | 10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 K. Clark G · #2 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 E. Pippa-White G · #24 | 22 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Alvarez G · #12 | 32 | 16 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
 J. Nichols G · #0 | 16 | 15 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Pape F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Sacko F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. Gros PG · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Anderson PG · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 74 | 32-58 | 2-12 | 8-9 | 27 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| HCU | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 32-58 | 26-53 |
| FG% | 55 | 49 |
| 3PT | 2-12 | 1-11 |
| 3P% | 17 | 9 |
| FT | 8-9 | 14-24 |
| FT% | 89 | 58 |
| REB | 27 | 24 |
| OR | 7 | 6 |
| DR | 20 | 18 |
| AST | 15 | 9 |
| STL | 13 | 11 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 17 | 16 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 17 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 29 | 19 |
| FBPs | 23 | 20 |
| PIP | 52 | 48 |
| PF | 20 | 15 |
| LL | 9 | 5 |
| LC | 7 | 7 |
| LPCT | 66 | 20 |
At lock HCU 72.58–64.02 WIU · HCU by 8.6 pts vs WIU +9.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Mara · HCU
18 MIN · 2 PTSD. Traylor · WIU
32 MIN · 12 PTSBubz Alvarez · HCU
STAT · 32 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-12 FG · 0-1 3PTJonas Nichols · HCU
STAT · 16 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-1 3PTDanny Stephens · WIU
STAT · 26 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-11 FG · 0-4 3PTMax Alexander · HCU
STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-9 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Hou Christian vs W Illinois pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WIU +9.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day