Utah Tech Trailblazers at New Mexico Lobos
Final · MW+
60–100Last shot · Mark Brown Jr. misses layup
At lock: projected UTU 67.92–86.88 UNM
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 813548346
- Winner: New Mexico (95%)
- Spread: UTU +21.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 156.5 (58%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UTU 67.92–86.88 UNM · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUNM +0.0 off · UTU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UNM
- Market priorBlended 86% toward UNM -23.5 / total 159.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTU | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| UNM | 38 | 62 | 100 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:3053–83
Boston Harker makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4253–85
Jake Hall makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5253–87
Uriah Tenette makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3356–87
Christian Gibson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mark Brown Jr. assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1356–89
Hudson Mayes makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5056–92
Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi makes 25-foot three point jumper (Hudson Mayes assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0758–92
Christian Gibson makes 15-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0660–92
Christian Gibson makes 19-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2660–95
Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dax Hall assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3960–98
Benjamin Schuch makes 23-foot three point jumper (Uriah Tenette assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:1760–99
Uriah Tenette makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1760–100
Uriah Tenette makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UTU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 E. Potter F · #35 | 30 | 8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
 O. Mackay G · #24 | 31 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 M. Brown Jr. G · #1 | 31 | 12 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 P. Vandermyde G · #14 | 19 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 C. Gibson G · #2 | 30 | 23 | 10-17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Grant F · #5 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Ariyibi F · #23 | 14 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 A. Rodriguez G · #4 | 27 | 2 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 B. Harker G · #33 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Bliss NA · #17 | 10 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Clark F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Lemke C · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Ragkos G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Dupre G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Sunderland G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 22-61 | 7-33 | 9-14 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UTU | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-61 | 35-60 |
| FG% | 36 | 58 |
| 3PT | 7-33 | 11-25 |
| 3P% | 21 | 44 |
| FT | 9-14 | 19-24 |
| FT% | 64 | 79 |
| REB | 26 | 42 |
| OR | 7 | 8 |
| DR | 19 | 34 |
| AST | 11 | 19 |
| STL | 7 | 10 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 15 | 14 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 19 | 23 |
| FBPs | 5 | 16 |
| PIP | 18 | 42 |
| PF | 17 | 14 |
| LL | 0 | 40 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 95 |
At lock UTU 67.92–86.88 UNM · UNM by 19.0 pts vs UTU +21.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissE. Potter · UTU
30 MIN · 8 PTSF. Grani · UNM
12 MIN · 6 PTSJake Hall · UNM
STAT · 27 MIN · 30 PTS · 9-19 FG · 3-10 3PTChristian Gibson · UTU
STAT · 30 MIN · 23 PTS · 10-17 FG · 3-9 3PTUriah Tenette · UNM
STAT · 30 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-12 FG · 2-4 3PTTunde Vahlberg Fasasi · UNM
STAT · 32 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Utah Tech vs New Mexico pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UTU +21.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day