Siena Saints at Bryant Bulldogs
Final · ESPN+
75–80Last shot · Trent Egbiremolen misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected SIE 75.66–73.98 BRY
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2098144779
- Winner: Siena (56%)
- Spread: BRY +2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 150.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SIE 75.66–73.98 BRY · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBRY +0.0 off · SIE +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BRY
- Market priorBlended 86% toward SIE -4.5 / total 157.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 41 | 34 | 75 |
| BRY | 37 | 43 | 80 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:4567–74
Pace Prosser makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1267–75
Ty Tabales makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0569–75
Pace Prosser makes 10-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 0:4770–75
Tim Ibukunoluwa makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3570–76
Ty Tabales makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3570–77
Ty Tabales makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2472–77
Trent Egbiremolen makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2473–77
Trent Egbiremolen makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:2473–78
Onyx Nnani makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:1275–78
Tan Yildizoglu makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 0:0675–79
Onyx Nnani makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0675–80
Onyx Nnani makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SIE | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 P. Prosser G · #22 | 39 | 15 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
 T. Ibukunoluwa G · #13 | 32 | 20 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
 T. Egbiremolen G · #5 | 38 | 15 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 B. Coyle G · #21 | 20 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 R. Ducharme G · #12 | 28 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 A. Amon G · #9 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 P. Edmond Jr. G · #3 | 17 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 I. Henderson G · #2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Yildizoglu G · #30 | 19 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 P. Lambert G · #94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Y. Steger G · #77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Martin G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Bratakos G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Roberson G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 O. Schlager G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Torres G · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 75 | 24-64 | 6-27 | 21-32 | 41 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SIE | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-64 | 26-65 |
| FG% | 38 | 40 |
| 3PT | 6-27 | 10-35 |
| 3P% | 22 | 29 |
| FT | 21-32 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 66 | 72 |
| REB | 41 | 47 |
| OR | 11 | 11 |
| DR | 30 | 36 |
| AST | 13 | 18 |
| STL | 11 | 5 |
| BLK | 1 | 5 |
| TO | 15 | 14 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 10 |
| FBPs | 20 | 6 |
| PIP | 34 | 32 |
| PF | 22 | 23 |
| LL | 11 | 9 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 64 | 29 |
At lock SIE 75.66–73.98 BRY · SIE by 1.7 pts vs BRY +2.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitP. Prosser · SIE
39 MIN · 15 PTSE. Hayeems · BRY
19 MIN · 8 PTSTim Ibukunoluwa · SIE
STAT · 32 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-14 FG · 2-6 3PTKeegan Harvey · BRY
STAT · 37 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-12 FG · 3-6 3PTTrent Egbiremolen · SIE
STAT · 38 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-14 FG · 0-6 3PTDuane Thompson · BRY
STAT · 26 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-10 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Siena vs Bryant pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BRY +2.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day