Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at South Carolina Gamecocks
Final · SECN+
68–78Last shot · Marqueas Bell makes 3-foot dunk
At lock: projected SEMO 65.28–80.61 SC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1277996616
- Winner: South Carolina (91%)
- Spread: SEMO +17.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Over 145.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)6
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SEMO 65.28–80.61 SC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSC +18.9 off · SEMO +11.7 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SC
- RecordSC 2-0 · SEMO 2-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward SC -17.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 32 | 36 | 68 |
| SC | 33 | 45 | 78 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1858–69
Juan Fernandez makes layup (Kory Mincy assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5660–69
Darrion Sutton makes 4-foot hook shot
- FT2nd Half 3:3760–70
Kory Mincy makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5362–70
PJ Farmer makes driving layup (Marcus Eaves assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:5164–70
Landren Blocker makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3564–72
Marcus Johnson makes 8-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0764–74
Juan Fernandez makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:2764–75
Kory Mincy makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2764–76
Kory Mincy makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1166–76
Fontaine Williams Jr. makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4966–78
Marcus Johnson makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:0168–78
Marqueas Bell makes 3-foot dunk
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Jewell F · #33 | 22 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 D. Sutton F · #10 | 20 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 F. Williams Jr. G · #23 | 30 | 18 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 L. Blocker G · #7 | 25 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 M. Bell G · #55 | 29 | 13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
 D. Cooper F · #11 | 16 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 A. Perry F · #5 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 A. Clawson-Smith G · #1 | 19 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 M. Eaves G · #0 | 16 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 PJ Farmer G · #2 | 18 | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 T. Sadler F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Simpson G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Pruett G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 68 | 24-54 | 5-14 | 15-22 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SEMO | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-54 | 21-47 |
| FG% | 44 | 45 |
| 3PT | 5-14 | 6-14 |
| 3P% | 36 | 43 |
| FT | 15-22 | 30-40 |
| FT% | 68 | 75 |
| REB | 24 | 40 |
| OR | 4 | 10 |
| DR | 20 | 30 |
| AST | 6 | 8 |
| STL | 12 | 4 |
| BLK | 7 | 7 |
| TO | 11 | 15 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 11 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 15 | 8 |
| FBPs | 15 | 6 |
| PIP | 22 | 28 |
| PF | 26 | 16 |
| LL | 3 | 12 |
| LC | 12 | 12 |
| LPCT | 7 | 86 |
At lock SEMO 65.28–80.61 SC · SC by 15.3 pts vs SEMO +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Jewell · SEMO
22 MIN · 6 PTSJ. Fernández · SC
32 MIN · 18 PTSKory Mincy · SC
STAT · 33 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-11 FG · 2-3 3PTFontaine Williams Jr. · SEMO
STAT · 30 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-13 FG · 3-3 3PTMarqueas Bell · SEMO
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-9 FG · 7-9 FTJakub Necas · SC
STAT · 34 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SE Missouri vs South Carolina pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SEMO +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day