NCAABFinalColonial Life Arena

Stetson Hatters at South Carolina Gamecocks

Final · SECN+

Stetson55–81South Carolina
StetsonSouth Carolina
Final

Last shot · Mason Fuentes makes free throw 2 of 2

Stetson Hatters
0-2 · L4
242 PF · 332 PA
55
Final
Final
South Carolina Gamecocks
1-0 · W4
315 PF · 226 PA
81
STET 10%SC 90%

At lock: projected STET 67.28–81.97 SC

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3308529800

Winner called · off by 13
Most typical sim
STET 67 – SC 82
Final
STET 55 – SC 81
  • Winner: South Carolina (90%)
  • Spread: STET +16.5 covers (57%)
  • Total: Under 149.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)13

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

STET 67.28–81.97 SC · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    SC +0.0 off · STET +12.2 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to SC
  • Record
    SC 1-0 · STET 0-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward SC -18.5 / total 149.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
STET253055
SC423981

Scoring plays

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4144–72

    Thiago Sucatzky makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 5:1344–73

    Davion Hannah makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 5:1344–74

    Davion Hannah makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5046–74

    Collin Kuhl makes 4-foot turnaround jump shot

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0646–76

    Kory Mincy makes 20-foot jumper (Eli Sparkman assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:4747–76

    Roman Miller makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2747–79

    Davion Hannah makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kory Mincy assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:0048–79

    Mason Fuentes makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5151–79

    Miller McGowan makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mason Fuentes assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0754–79

    Jean-Ernest Boyomo Keedi makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mason Fuentes assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4054–81

    Davion Hannah makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:2955–81

    Mason Fuentes makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

STETMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
M. Myles
F · #0
1121-10-00-000100005
C. Kuhl
F · #9
32176-101-24-672120344
M. Entenmann
F · #43
2452-50-11-341101131
S. Morgan
G · #51
1500-20-20-020000022
T. Sucatzky
G · #5
2021-40-00-003600000
B. Pourchier
F · #24
1021-10-00-010000010
J. Boyomo Keedi
F · #1
531-21-10-010000100
F. Sheridan
F · #21
1000-20-20-022000113
A. Doyle
F · #13
1962-42-40-010001010
R. Miller
G · #23
23113-61-14-611010012
M. McGowan
G · #8
231-11-10-000000000
B. Gladieux
G · #20
000-00-00-000000000
D. Macgregor
G · #4
1500-40-10-011100010
M. Fuentes
G · #77
1041-20-12-502011000
I. Jones
G · #2
400-00-00-000000000
Team5519-446-1611-202112134371417

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

STETSC
FG19-4431-61
FG%4351
3PT6-168-27
3P%3830
FT11-2011-16
FT%5569
REB2135
OR715
DR1420
AST1218
STL47
BLK33
TO135
TTO30
ToTO135
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO820
FBPs46
PIP2644
PF1718
LL233
LC33
LPCT790
Computer pick · Spread
STET +16.5
53%

At lock STET 67.28–81.97 SC · SC by 14.7 pts vs STET +16.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • M. Myles · STET

    11 MIN · 2 PTS
  • J. Fernández · SC

    19 MIN · 20 PTS
  • Collin Kuhl · STET

    STAT · 32 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-2 3PT
  • Camden Heide · SC

    STAT · 25 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Roman Miller · STET

    STAT · 23 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-6 FG · 1-1 3PT
  • Jakub Necas · SC

    STAT · 28 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-5 FG · 1-2 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Stetson vs South Carolina pick result · Nov 3, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is STET +16.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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