NCAABFinalHope Coliseum

Stetson Hatters at West Virginia Mountaineers

Final · ESPN+

Stetson53–91West Virginia
StetsonWest Virginia
Final

Last shot · Isaac Jones misses 24-foot three point jumper

Stetson Hatters
0-3 · L4
242 PF · 332 PA
53
Final
Final
West Virginia Mountaineers
2-0 · W3
257 PF · 160 PA
91
STET 3%WVU 97%

At lock: projected STET 60.18–81.57 WVU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3408917144

Winner called · off by 34
Most typical sim
STET 70 – WVU 74
Final
STET 53 – WVU 91
  • Winner: West Virginia (63%)
  • Score error (both teams)34

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

STET 60.18–81.57 WVU · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    WVU +11.0 off · STET +3.5 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to WVU
  • Record
    WVU 2-0 · STET 0-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 85% toward WVU -27.5 / total 139.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
STET302353
WVU434891

Scoring plays

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:3850–77

    Amadou Seini makes 2-foot dunk

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:1852–77

    Jean-Ernest Boyomo Keedi makes 2-foot dunk

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:3252–80

    Martin Somerville makes 24-foot three point jumper (Miles Sadler assists)

  • FT2nd Half 5:0753–80

    Roman Miller makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5353–83

    Miles Sadler makes 25-foot three point jumper (Seydou Traore assists)

  • FT2nd Half 4:2853–84

    Seydou Traore makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 4:2853–85

    Seydou Traore makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1753–87

    Seydou Traore makes 1-foot dunk (Martin Somerville assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:5453–88

    Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:5453–89

    Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:1153–90

    Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:1153–91

    Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

STETMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
M. Myles
F · #0
1600-10-10-001011002
A. Doyle
F · #13
2231-41-30-021000200
C. Kuhl
F · #9
27124-81-33-692101361
R. Miller
G · #23
1362-51-21-300210003
T. Sucatzky
G · #5
3063-60-20-213200012
B. Pourchier
F · #24
500-10-00-530100123
J. Boyomo Keedi
F · #1
721-30-10-020000202
F. Sheridan
F · #21
800-00-00-000100001
M. Entenmann
F · #43
2793-70-43-470110161
S. Morgan
G · #51
21155-135-120-021100021
M. McGowan
G · #8
300-00-00-010010010
B. Gladieux
G · #20
100-00-00-000000000
D. Macgregor
G · #4
1200-30-20-022100020
M. Fuentes
G · #77
500-20-00-000001000
I. Jones
G · #2
300-10-10-000200001
Team5319-548-317-2032101343112117

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

STETWVU
FG19-5431-62
FG%3550
3PT8-3113-31
3P%2642
FT7-2016-23
FT%3570
REB3246
OR1113
DR2133
AST1018
STL44
BLK30
TO137
TTO10
ToTO137
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO221
FBPs012
PIP2236
PF1721
LL038
LC00
LPCT096
Computer pick · Spread
STET +24.5
56%

At lock STET 60.18–81.57 WVU · WVU by 21.4 pts vs STET +24.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • M. Myles · STET

    16 MIN · 0-1 FG
  • B. Lorient · WVU

    19 MIN · 0-5 FG
  • Miles Sadler · WVU

    STAT · 24 MIN · 25 PTS · 11-16 FG · 3-6 3PT
  • Joson Sanon · WVU

    STAT · 19 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-9 FG · 6-8 3PT
  • Sean Morgan · STET

    STAT · 21 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-13 FG · 5-12 3PT
  • Finley Bizjack · WVU

    STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-7 FG · 2-5 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Stetson vs West Virginia pick result · Nov 6, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is STET +24.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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