Stetson Hatters at West Virginia Mountaineers
Final · ESPN+


53–91
Last shot · Isaac Jones misses 24-foot three point jumper


At lock: projected STET 60.18–81.57 WVU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3408917144
- Winner: West Virginia (63%)
- Score error (both teams)34
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
STET 60.18–81.57 WVU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWVU +11.0 off · STET +3.5 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WVU
- RecordWVU 2-0 · STET 0-3
- Market priorBlended 85% toward WVU -27.5 / total 139.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 30 | 23 | 53 |
| WVU | 43 | 48 | 91 |
Scoring plays
DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:3850–77Amadou Seini makes 2-foot dunk
DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:1852–77Jean-Ernest Boyomo Keedi makes 2-foot dunk
JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:3252–80Martin Somerville makes 24-foot three point jumper (Miles Sadler assists)
FT2nd Half 5:0753–80Roman Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5353–83Miles Sadler makes 25-foot three point jumper (Seydou Traore assists)
FT2nd Half 4:2853–84Seydou Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2nd Half 4:2853–85Seydou Traore makes free throw 2 of 2
DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1753–87Seydou Traore makes 1-foot dunk (Martin Somerville assists)
FT2nd Half 2:5453–88Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2nd Half 2:5453–89Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 2 of 2
FT2nd Half 2:1153–90Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2nd Half 2:1153–91Mouhamed Sylla makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| STET | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Myles F · #0 | 16 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() A. Doyle F · #13 | 22 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() C. Kuhl F · #9 | 27 | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
![]() R. Miller G · #23 | 13 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
![]() T. Sucatzky G · #5 | 30 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
![]() B. Pourchier F · #24 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
![]() J. Boyomo Keedi F · #1 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() F. Sheridan F · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() M. Entenmann F · #43 | 27 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
![]() S. Morgan G · #51 | 21 | 15 | 5-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
![]() M. McGowan G · #8 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
![]() B. Gladieux G · #20 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() D. Macgregor G · #4 | 12 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
![]() M. Fuentes G · #77 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() I. Jones G · #2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 53 | 19-54 | 8-31 | 7-20 | 32 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| STET | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-54 | 31-62 |
| FG% | 35 | 50 |
| 3PT | 8-31 | 13-31 |
| 3P% | 26 | 42 |
| FT | 7-20 | 16-23 |
| FT% | 35 | 70 |
| REB | 32 | 46 |
| OR | 11 | 13 |
| DR | 21 | 33 |
| AST | 10 | 18 |
| STL | 4 | 4 |
| BLK | 3 | 0 |
| TO | 13 | 7 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 2 | 21 |
| FBPs | 0 | 12 |
| PIP | 22 | 36 |
| PF | 17 | 21 |
| LL | 0 | 38 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 96 |
At lock STET 60.18–81.57 WVU · WVU by 21.4 pts vs STET +24.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissM. Myles · STET
16 MIN · 0-1 FGB. Lorient · WVU
19 MIN · 0-5 FGMiles Sadler · WVU
STAT · 24 MIN · 25 PTS · 11-16 FG · 3-6 3PTJoson Sanon · WVU
STAT · 19 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-9 FG · 6-8 3PTSean Morgan · STET
STAT · 21 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-13 FG · 5-12 3PTFinley Bizjack · WVU
STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-7 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Stetson vs West Virginia pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is STET +24.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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