Omaha Mavericks at BYU Cougars
Final · ESPN+
67–108Last shot · Cory Curtis Jr. makes driving layup
At lock: projected OMA 66.46–95.47 BYU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1025759771
- Winner: BYU (99%)
- Spread: OMA +33.5 covers (65%)
- Total: Over 161.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)14
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
OMA 66.46–95.47 BYU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBYU +23.4 off · OMA +23.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BYU
- RecordBYU 2-0 · OMA 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward BYU -33.5 / total 161.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| BYU | 56 | 52 | 108 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5155–99
Collin Chandler makes 26-foot three point jumper (Brody Kozlowski assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3858–99
Deke Thompson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Grant Stubblefield assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:3458–100
Jaxon Kohler makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3458–101
Jaxon Kohler makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:0060–101
Heri Bukinga makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Jonny Jordan Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:3660–102
Brody Kozlowski makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4262–102
Jonny Jordan Jr. makes 14-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:4263–102
Jonny Jordan Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1965–102
Ethan Sheats makes 15-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5765–105
Nate Pickens makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dean Rueckert assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1265–108
Petar Ostojic makes 26-foot three point jumper (Brooks Bahr assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0067–108
Cory Curtis Jr. makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| OMA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Bolis F · #7 | 23 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 I. Ondekane C · #24 | 20 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 C. Crosby G · #2 | 30 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Thompson G · #21 | 22 | 17 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 G. Stubblefield G · #3 | 27 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
G G. Baker F · #42 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
E E. Sheats F · #8 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
D D. Pleasant F · #5 | 16 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 B. Scholl F · #44 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 C. Dockery F · #0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 H. Bukinga C · #32 | 12 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
J J. Jordan Jr. G · #11 | 23 | 10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 C. Curtis Jr. G · #1 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Skradis G · #12 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
B B. Orgilbold G · #13 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 67 | 26-61 | 8-23 | 7-13 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| OMA | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 26-61 | 39-70 |
| FG% | 43 | 56 |
| 3PT | 8-23 | 16-35 |
| 3P% | 35 | 46 |
| FT | 7-13 | 14-18 |
| FT% | 54 | 78 |
| REB | 27 | 46 |
| OR | 8 | 15 |
| DR | 19 | 31 |
| AST | 14 | 22 |
| STL | 3 | 6 |
| BLK | 1 | 6 |
| TO | 12 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 19 |
| FBPs | 0 | 31 |
| PIP | 24 | 46 |
| PF | 20 | 14 |
| LL | 2 | 44 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock OMA 66.46–95.47 BYU · BYU by 29.0 pts vs OMA +33.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ. Bolis · OMA
23 MIN · 5 PTSB. Branch III · BYU
26 MIN · 17 PTSRobert Wright III · BYU
STAT · 24 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-11 FG · 1-3 3PTTyler Betsey · BYU
STAT · 16 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-8 FG · 6-8 3PTCollin Chandler · BYU
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-7 FG · 3-4 3PTDeke Thompson · OMA
STAT · 22 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-13 FG · 4-10 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Omaha vs BYU pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is OMA +33.5, with a 58% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day