Northern Colorado Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils
Final · ESPN+
63–90Last shot · Vincent Delano makes 10-foot jumper (Manning Shareef assists)
At lock: projected UNCO 63.53–80.62 ASU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 908316438
- Winner: Arizona St (94%)
- Spread: UNCO +19.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Over 143.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)10
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UNCO 63.53–80.62 ASU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseASU +20.5 off · UNCO +22.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ASU
- RecordASU 2-0 · UNCO 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward ASU -19.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 26 | 37 | 63 |
| ASU | 48 | 42 | 90 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:4555–79
Andrew Crawford makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2055–80
Filip Malesevic makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2055–81
Filip Malesevic makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0058–81
Hunter Caldwell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Manning Shareef assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4058–83
Filip Malesevic makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2960–83
Manning Shareef makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5860–85
Jokubas Rudaitis makes driving layup (Dillan Shaw assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2260–87
Nate Garcia makes 5-foot jumper (Ajak Nyuon assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5160–89
JRob Croy makes 8-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 1:1260–90
Vijay Wallace makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4861–90
Langston Reynolds makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1563–90
Vincent Delano makes 10-foot jumper (Manning Shareef assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UNCO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Crawford F · #42 | 32 | 10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
 K. Rayfield F · #1 | 26 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 H. Caldwell C · #4 | 28 | 11 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
 V. Delano G · #11 | 26 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 L. Reynolds G · #6 | 33 | 7 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 M. Shareef F · #23 | 26 | 13 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
 C. Blogg G · #9 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Hammond G · #22 | 14 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Tramble G · #2 | 11 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Ramirez Jr. G · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Mawien G · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Paine F · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Shields C · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 W. Gordon G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Braketa G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 24-56 | 8-18 | 7-16 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UNCO | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-56 | 35-65 |
| FG% | 43 | 54 |
| 3PT | 8-18 | 7-22 |
| 3P% | 44 | 32 |
| FT | 7-16 | 13-19 |
| FT% | 44 | 68 |
| REB | 32 | 40 |
| OR | 9 | 11 |
| DR | 23 | 29 |
| AST | 13 | 16 |
| STL | 1 | 8 |
| BLK | 0 | 4 |
| TO | 12 | 5 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 5 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 16 |
| FBPs | 5 | 17 |
| PIP | 32 | 48 |
| PF | 18 | 18 |
| LL | 0 | 30 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 92 |
At lock UNCO 63.53–80.62 ASU · ASU by 17.1 pts vs UNCO +19.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Crawford · UNCO
32 MIN · 10 PTSP. Murauskas · ASU
33 MIN · 33 PTSBryce Ford · ASU
STAT · 22 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-11 FG · 2-5 3PTManning Shareef · UNCO
STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-4 3PTHunter Caldwell · UNCO
STAT · 28 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-11 FG · 3-8 3PTVincent Delano · UNCO
STAT · 26 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
N Colorado vs Arizona St pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UNCO +19.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day