NCAABFinalM&T Bank Arena

Bryant Bulldogs at Quinnipiac Bobcats

Final · ESPN+

Bryant56–66Quinnipiac
BryantQuinnipiac
Final

Last shot · Onyx Nnani misses 29-foot three point jumper

Bryant Bulldogs
1-1 · L4
301 PF · 359 PA
56
Final
Final
Quinnipiac Bobcats
1-1 · L1
274 PF · 302 PA
66
BRY 32%QUIN 68%

At lock: projected BRY 71.78–77.09 QUIN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 2:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1470605384

Winner called · off by 27
Most typical sim
BRY 72 – QUIN 77
Final
BRY 56 – QUIN 66
  • Winner: Quinnipiac (68%)
  • Spread: BRY +6.5 covers (54%)
  • Total: Over 148.5 (54%)
  • Score error (both teams)27

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

BRY 71.78–77.09 QUIN · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    QUIN +14.6 off · BRY +19.8 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to QUIN
  • Record
    QUIN 1-1 · BRY 1-1
  • Market prior
    Blended 71% toward QUIN -6.5 / total 148.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
BRY292756
QUIN333366

Scoring plays

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 7:1046–60

    Keith McKnight makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nas Hart assists)

  • FT2nd Half 5:4447–60

    Duane Thompson makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 5:4448–60

    Duane Thompson makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1851–60

    Onyx Nnani makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ty Tabales assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1853–60

    Onyx Nnani makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:5053–61

    Tai Turnage makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:5053–62

    Tai Turnage makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4356–62

    Ty Tabales makes 24-foot three point jumper (Keegan Harvey assists)

  • FT2nd Half 0:2356–63

    Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:2356–64

    Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1156–65

    Keith McKnight makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1056–66

    Keith McKnight makes free throw 1 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

BRYMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
E. Hayeems
F · #8
2342-80-10-041011132
A. Pasha
F · #15
3684-90-30-181020084
O. Nnani
F · #5
28134-91-34-641410403
K. Harvey
F · #14
32146-122-50-151522324
T. Tabales
G · #1
2162-82-70-112302012
R. Behar
F · #9
1831-41-30-030000210
E. Crispin
F · #3
821-20-10-001000003
C. Lyons
F · #11
1100-20-20-010010010
D. Thompson
F · #0
2361-71-53-431000211
G. Payton
F · #23
—————————————
T. Nwankwo
F · #19
—————————————
T. Grissom
F · #13
—————————————
E. Chatfield Jr.
F · #2
—————————————
M. DeOrsey
PG · #30
—————————————
R. Woerner
G · #25
—————————————
J. Sepe
G · #22
—————————————
F. Vassalluzzo
G · #21
—————————————
Team5621-617-307-132981275121719

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

BRYQUIN
FG21-6125-56
FG%3445
3PT7-308-15
3P%2353
FT7-138-18
FT%5444
REB2938
OR1214
DR1724
AST814
STL77
BLK53
TO1216
TTO01
ToTO1216
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1912
FBPs811
PIP2226
PF1915
LL414
LC66
LPCT2467
Computer pick · Spread
BRY +6.5
52%

At lock BRY 71.78–77.09 QUIN · QUIN by 5.3 pts vs BRY +6.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • E. Hayeems · BRY

    23 MIN · 4 PTS
  • K. McKnight · QUIN

    31 MIN · 16 PTS
  • Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton · QUIN

    STAT · 29 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-11 FG · 3-6 3PT
  • Keegan Harvey · BRY

    STAT · 32 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-12 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Onyx Nnani · BRY

    STAT · 28 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-3 3PT
  • Nas Hart · QUIN

    STAT · 25 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-2 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Bryant vs Quinnipiac pick result · Nov 5, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is BRY +6.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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