Rice Owls at Stanford Cardinal
Final · ACCNX
73–91Last shot · Tristan Vukotic misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected RICE 64.92–80.79 STAN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3643057708
- Winner: Stanford (92%)
- Spread: RICE +18.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Over 145.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RICE 64.92–80.79 STAN · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSTAN +8.9 off · RICE +10.8 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to STAN
- RecordSTAN 3-0 · RICE 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward STAN -18.5 / total 145.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | 29 | 44 | 73 |
| STAN | 45 | 46 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:4162–80
Tristan Vukotic makes free throw 3 of 3
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1965–80
Tristan Vukotic makes 26-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4365–82
Nick Townsend makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot
- FT2nd Half 4:1065–83
Nick Townsend makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1065–84
Nick Townsend makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5367–84
Jaxson Thompson makes 11-foot pullup jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3667–86
Austin Maurer makes layup (Nick Townsend assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2469–86
Zalan Flasar makes layup (Tristan Vukotic assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0269–89
Christian Bliss makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nick Townsend assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:4770–89
Jaxson Thompson makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4173–89
Tristan Vukotic makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dallas Hobbs assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:1673–91
Austin Maurer makes 3-foot dunk (Aidan Cammann assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RICE | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 E. Eguagie F · #8 | 20 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Oladokun Jr. F · #24 | 16 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 J. Thompson G · #2 | 26 | 14 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 C. Adkins G · #14 | 19 | 9 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Dar G · #5 | 12 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 Z. Flasar F · #3 | 18 | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
 A. Leeth F · #6 | 17 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 J. Elouna Eyenga F · #25 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 T. Vukotic G · #23 | 15 | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 K. Myers G · #4 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Howell G · #7 | 16 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Hobbs G · #0 | 20 | 12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 E. Cochran F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Amin G · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Andrews-Heitz G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Carroll G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 73 | 25-61 | 6-23 | 17-22 | 31 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RICE | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-61 | 32-62 |
| FG% | 41 | 52 |
| 3PT | 6-23 | 7-19 |
| 3P% | 26 | 37 |
| FT | 17-22 | 20-21 |
| FT% | 77 | 95 |
| REB | 31 | 37 |
| OR | 11 | 10 |
| DR | 20 | 27 |
| AST | 9 | 15 |
| STL | 5 | 9 |
| BLK | 5 | 2 |
| TO | 17 | 12 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 17 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 24 |
| FBPs | 6 | 7 |
| PIP | 32 | 42 |
| PF | 19 | 17 |
| LL | 2 | 30 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 3 | 94 |
At lock RICE 64.92–80.79 STAN · STAN by 15.9 pts vs RICE +18.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitE. Eguagie · RICE
20 MIN · 3 PTSA. Cammann · STAN
16 MIN · 3 PTSNick Townsend · STAN
STAT · 33 MIN · 31 PTS · 9-14 FG · 2-4 3PTJaxson Thompson · RICE
STAT · 26 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-3 3PTAustin Maurer · STAN
STAT · 27 MIN · 14 PTS · 7-11 FG · 0-1 3PTDallas Hobbs · RICE
STAT · 20 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-6 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Rice vs Stanford pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RICE +18.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day