Radford Highlanders at San Francisco Dons
Final · ESPN+
62–76Last shot · Yoav Vitlem misses 12-foot jumper
At lock: projected RAD 71.36–80.86 SF
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3960699636
- Winner: San Francisco (80%)
- Spread: RAD +10.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)15
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RAD 71.36–80.86 SF · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSF +0.0 off · RAD +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SF
- Market priorBlended 86% toward SF -15.5 / total 154.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| SF | 37 | 39 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:0756–65
Ismaila Diagne makes 1-foot dunk (Dylan Bordon assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3858–65
Tristan Gross makes layup (Warren Keel Jr. assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0758–67
Dylan Bordon makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4458–69
Andrew Hilman makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0258–71
Gustav Knudsen makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot
- FT2nd Half 2:0258–72
Dylan Bordon makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5160–72
Warren Keel Jr. makes 17-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 1:2160–73
Ismaila Diagne makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2160–74
Ismaila Diagne makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0962–74
Mathieu Grujicic makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:4262–75
Yoav Vitlem makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4262–76
Yoav Vitlem makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RAD | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 F. Erichsen F · #7 | 29 | 12 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
 G. Ferreira C · #12 | 17 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 J. Robinson G · #23 | 27 | 10 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 M. Grujicic G · #9 | 25 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 T. Gross G · #10 | 25 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
 P. Kabamba F · #15 | 14 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 C. Jackson F · #34 | 12 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 K. Davis G · #5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 W. Keel Jr. G · #4 | 23 | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 J. Kee G · #3 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 Z. Walker G · #1 | 24 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 A. Nokes F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Cantrell G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Alves G · #31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Pruett G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 62 | 22-50 | 7-21 | 11-16 | 32 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 29 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RAD | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-50 | 24-57 |
| FG% | 44 | 42 |
| 3PT | 7-21 | 7-26 |
| 3P% | 33 | 27 |
| FT | 11-16 | 21-35 |
| FT% | 69 | 60 |
| REB | 32 | 39 |
| OR | 8 | 16 |
| DR | 24 | 23 |
| AST | 14 | 14 |
| STL | 2 | 10 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 19 | 9 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 19 | 9 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 21 |
| FBPs | 6 | 9 |
| PIP | 24 | 32 |
| PF | 29 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 14 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock RAD 71.36–80.86 SF · SF by 9.5 pts vs RAD +10.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissF. Erichsen · RAD
29 MIN · 12 PTSG. Knudsen · SF
37 MIN · 13 PTSDylan Bordon · SF
STAT · 36 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-16 FG · 1-7 3PTIsmaila Diagne · SF
STAT · 28 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-9 FG · 6-9 FTMathieu Grujicic · RAD
STAT · 25 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-9 FG · 2-5 3PTJa'Corey Robinson · RAD
STAT · 27 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-8 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Radford vs San Francisco pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RAD +10.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day