Jackson State Tigers at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Final · CBSSN
42–76Last shot · Chip Brunt makes 24-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected JKST 61.90–92.04 TTU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1544281215
- Winner: Texas Tech (100%)
- Spread: JKST +34.5 covers (65%)
- Total: Under 155.5 (59%)
- Score error (both teams)36
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
JKST 61.90–92.04 TTU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTTU +0.0 off · JKST +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TTU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward TTU -38.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKST | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| TTU | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:4431–67
Bassala Bagayoko makes 0-foot dunk (Donovan Atwell assists)
- FT2nd Half 6:2232–67
Mike Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5232–69
DaKari Spear makes layup (Josiah Moseley assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:3234–69
Dorian McMillian makes 13-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4636–69
AT Manyuon makes 7-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 4:1836–70
DaKari Spear makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1836–71
DaKari Spear makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1339–71
Nikk Williams makes 27-foot three point jumper (Blake Nettles assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:3239–73
Trey Hall makes 3-foot dunk
- FT2nd Half 1:3539–74
Damarion Dennis makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1339–76
Amari Barrett makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1742–76
Chip Brunt makes 24-foot three point jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| JKST | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. Butler F · #21 | 9 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Williams C · #4 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Williams G · #11 | 31 | 11 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 D. McMillian G · #1 | 33 | 10 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Ruffin G · #24 | 26 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 N. Williams F · #22 | 21 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
 E. Wilson C · #7 | 12 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 DJ Davis G · #6 | 11 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 AT Manyuon G · #3 | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 B. Nettles G · #0 | 11 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 T. Hoover G · #5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Williams G · #12 | 11 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Brunt G · #10 | 15 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 TK Lawson F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Kolev F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Husband G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Jones G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 42 | 14-48 | 6-29 | 8-14 | 33 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| JKST | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 14-48 | 25-55 |
| FG% | 29 | 45 |
| 3PT | 6-29 | 7-30 |
| 3P% | 21 | 23 |
| FT | 8-14 | 19-31 |
| FT% | 57 | 61 |
| REB | 33 | 37 |
| OR | 7 | 10 |
| DR | 26 | 27 |
| AST | 7 | 14 |
| STL | 2 | 12 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 24 | 10 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 24 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 29 |
| FBPs | 0 | 17 |
| PIP | 12 | 36 |
| PF | 23 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 38 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 7 | 90 |
At lock JKST 61.90–92.04 TTU · TTU by 30.1 pts vs JKST +34.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitK. Butler · JKST
9 MIN · 1 PTSB. Bagayoko · TTU
15 MIN · 4 PTSDamarion Dennis · TTU
STAT · 23 MIN · 22 PTS · 8-12 FG · 4-8 3PTCruz Davis · TTU
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-7 FG · 1-3 3PTJosiah Moseley · TTU
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-6 FG · 5-8 FTMike Williams · JKST
STAT · 31 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-12 FG · 2-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Jackson St vs Texas Tech pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is JKST +34.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day