Northern Illinois Huskies at Grambling Tigers
Final · YouTube
87–89Last shot · Max Weisbrod misses 27-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NIU 73.08–67.10 GRAM
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2504142355
- Winner: N Illinois (70%)
- Spread: GRAM +7.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 139.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)36
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NIU 73.08–67.10 GRAM · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGRAM +0.0 off · NIU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GRAM
- Market priorBlended 86% toward NIU -8.5 / total 139.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 36 | 51 | 87 |
| GRAM | 43 | 46 | 89 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1277–82
Dwayne Pierce makes 6-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:1277–83
Dwayne Pierce makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5779–83
Trevor Polite makes layup (Max Weisbrod assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:4179–85
Dwayne Pierce makes 3-foot dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3182–85
David Douglas Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Max Weisbrod assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4082–87
Mekhi Fitts makes layup (Dwayne Pierce assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3384–87
Bennett Basich makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3385–87
Bennett Basich makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:0985–88
Dwayne Pierce makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0686–88
Nino Carter-Smith makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0687–88
Nino Carter-Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0487–89
Chancellor Perkins makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NIU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Gross F · #32 | 18 | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 T. Polite G · #10 | 31 | 15 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
 C. Hardrick G · #2 | 22 | 8 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
 M. Weisbrod G · #6 | 31 | 11 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Douglas Jr. G · #15 | 30 | 12 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
 T. Samuels F · #3 | 10 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Daugherty F · #9 | 9 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 K. Hanson G · #11 | 11 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 B. Basich G · #8 | 20 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 N. Carter-Smith G · #0 | 18 | 13 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 M. Ivanauskas F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. McBirney-Griffin F · #70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Ramus G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Larthridge G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Klesmit G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 U. Buntyn G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 87 | 28-60 | 14-31 | 17-22 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NIU | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 28-60 | 32-50 |
| FG% | 47 | 64 |
| 3PT | 14-31 | 5-13 |
| 3P% | 45 | 38 |
| FT | 17-22 | 20-29 |
| FT% | 77 | 69 |
| REB | 27 | 28 |
| OR | 10 | 5 |
| DR | 17 | 23 |
| AST | 16 | 15 |
| STL | 7 | 4 |
| BLK | 2 | 4 |
| TO | 8 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 8 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 8 |
| FBPs | 9 | 10 |
| PIP | 28 | 48 |
| PF | 20 | 20 |
| LL | 0 | 12 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 95 |
At lock NIU 73.08–67.10 GRAM · NIU by 6.0 pts vs GRAM +7.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitB. Gross · NIU
18 MIN · 11 PTSH. Washington · GRAM
6 MIN · 0-0 FGIsaiah Miranda · GRAM
STAT · 22 MIN · 29 PTS · 10-12 FG · 4-5 3PTDwayne Pierce · GRAM
STAT · 31 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-15 FG · 1-3 3PTTrevor Polite · NIU
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-3 3PTNino Carter-Smith · NIU
STAT · 18 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-4 FG · 3-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
N Illinois vs Grambling pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is GRAM +7.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day