Delaware Blue Hens at Wisconsin Badgers
Final · B1G+
64–73Last shot · Jameel Brown makes 25-foot three point jumper (Mason Ellison assists)
At lock: projected DEL 66.38–86.83 WIS
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 4:55 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 367567342
- Winner: Wisconsin (96%)
- Spread: DEL +24.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Over 152.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)16
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DEL 66.38–86.83 WIS · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWIS +10.8 off · DEL +11.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WIS
- RecordWIS 2-0 · DEL 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward WIS -25.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEL | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| WIS | 35 | 38 | 73 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2252–67
Kachi Nzeh makes 24-foot three point jumper (DeShawn Harris-Smith assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5752–69
Owen Foxwell makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 4:1852–70
Eian Elmer makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1852–71
Eian Elmer makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5355–71
Chuck Bailey III makes 24-foot three point jumper (DeShawn Harris-Smith assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:5655–72
Nolan Winter makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5256–72
Favour Egbuna makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1657–72
Jayden Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1658–72
Jayden Taylor makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5161–72
Mason Ellison makes 25-foot three pointer
- FT2nd Half 0:2761–73
Zach Kinziger makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1464–73
Jameel Brown makes 25-foot three point jumper (Mason Ellison assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DEL | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. Nzeh F · #7 | 28 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 S. Solano C · #15 | 14 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 C. Bailey III G · #0 | 33 | 26 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 D. Dinkins G · #2 | 14 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Harris-Smith G · #5 | 33 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
 F. Egbuna F · #24 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 E. Alvin F · #13 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Taylor F · #11 | 5 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Valencia G · #10 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Kazanecki G · #20 | 14 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Ellison G · #1 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 N. Petronio G · #3 | 29 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Brown G · #55 | 14 | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 A. McFadden G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Baffone G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 21-59 | 12-25 | 10-11 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DEL | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-59 | 25-63 |
| FG% | 36 | 40 |
| 3PT | 12-25 | 10-30 |
| 3P% | 48 | 33 |
| FT | 10-11 | 13-18 |
| FT% | 91 | 72 |
| REB | 32 | 42 |
| OR | 6 | 12 |
| DR | 26 | 30 |
| AST | 13 | 19 |
| STL | 4 | 4 |
| BLK | 1 | 5 |
| TO | 9 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 2 | 16 |
| FBPs | 7 | 8 |
| PIP | 16 | 28 |
| PF | 18 | 9 |
| LL | 2 | 19 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 4 | 91 |
At lock DEL 66.38–86.83 WIS · WIS by 20.5 pts vs DEL +24.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitK. Nzeh · DEL
28 MIN · 11 PTSV. Onuetu · WIS
20 MIN · 11 PTSChuck Bailey III · DEL
STAT · 33 MIN · 26 PTS · 8-15 FG · 5-7 3PTOwen Foxwell · WIS
STAT · 29 MIN · 16 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-2 3PTBraeden Carrington · WIS
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-12 FG · 4-10 3PTNolan Winter · WIS
STAT · 23 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Delaware vs Wisconsin pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is DEL +24.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day