NCAABFinalPrudential Center

Saint Peter's Peacocks at Seton Hall Pirates

Final · ESPN+

Saint Peter's42–66Seton Hall
Saint Peter'sSeton Hall
Final

Last shot · Xavier Thomas misses 25-foot three point jumper

Saint Peter's Peacocks
0-1 · L4
190 PF · 255 PA
42
Final
Final
Seton Hall Pirates
1-0 · L1
277 PF · 246 PA
66
SPU 6%HALL 94%

At lock: projected SPU 59.75–77.85 HALL

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2246807765

Winner called · off by 30
Most typical sim
SPU 60 – HALL 78
Final
SPU 42 – HALL 66
  • Winner: Seton Hall (94%)
  • Spread: SPU +20.5 covers (58%)
  • Total: Over 136.5 (57%)
  • Score error (both teams)30

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

SPU 59.75–77.85 HALL · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    HALL +0.0 off · SPU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to HALL
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward HALL -19.5 / total 133.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
SPU182442
HALL363066

Scoring plays

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:5434–54

    Ken Walker makes 24-foot three point jumper (Bryce Eaton assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:2834–56

    Mayar Wol makes 18-foot jumper (Darien Moore Jr. assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4234–58

    Darien Moore Jr. makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5834–60

    Ilay Dolinski makes layup (Rodney Brown Jr. assists)

  • FT2nd Half 4:2635–60

    Jordan Mathews makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 4:2636–60

    Jordan Mathews makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:5836–61

    Ilay Dolinski makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:5836–62

    Ilay Dolinski makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:3839–62

    Bryce Eaton makes 25-foot three point jumper (Xavier Thomas assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:0339–63

    Theo Airhienbuwa makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4242–63

    Xavier Thomas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ken Walker assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0242–66

    Darien Moore Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Mihailo Petrovic assists)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

SPUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
X. Thomas
F · #4
2752-91-40-041101313
T. Patterson
F · #3
1661-20-04-420100114
S. Simpson
G · #2
1600-20-20-031121030
B. Eaton
G · #8
32166-134-60-132221032
E. Perkins
G · #7
2621-60-10-001521003
J. Mathews
F · #11
1951-20-03-440000310
B. Tshilobo
F · #17
1600-00-00-220200112
J. Noudjihidi
C · #14
800-10-00-010100104
M. Santiago
G · #1
1200-40-40-020000021
K. Walker
G · #10
2082-92-62-221100020
B. Wilson
G · #15
700-20-00-020000112
A. Watson
F · #23
—————————————
R. Wilmote
G · #24
—————————————
P. Glassnor
G · #0
—————————————
Team4213-507-239-132861664101821

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

SPUHALL
FG13-5022-48
FG%2646
3PT7-237-19
3P%3037
FT9-1315-24
FT%6963
REB2837
OR1010
DR1827
AST615
STL612
BLK44
TO1612
TTO23
ToTO1612
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO824
FBPs417
PIP622
PF2113
LL626
LC11
LPCT1185
Computer pick · Spread
SPU +20.5
54%

At lock SPU 59.75–77.85 HALL · HALL by 18.1 pts vs SPU +20.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • X. Thomas · SPU

    27 MIN · 5 PTS
  • T. Copeland Jr. · HALL

    19 MIN · 10 PTS
  • Bryce Eaton · SPU

    STAT · 32 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-13 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Roddie Anderson · HALL

    STAT · 19 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-5 3PT
  • Ken Walker · SPU

    STAT · 20 MIN · 8 PTS · 2-9 FG · 2-6 3PT
  • Simeon Wilcher · HALL

    STAT · 19 MIN · 8 PTS · 3-5 FG · 1-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Saint Peter's vs Seton Hall pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is SPU +20.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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