Binghamton Bearcats at Northwestern Wildcats
Final · B1G+
60–86Last shot · Jayden Lemond makes 7-foot floating jump shot
At lock: projected BING 62.76–83.44 NU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 433823355
- Winner: Northwestern (96%)
- Spread: BING +23.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 146.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)5
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BING 62.76–83.44 NU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNU +0.0 off · BING +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward NU -18.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BING | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| NU | 51 | 35 | 86 |
Scoring plays
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 9:1554–72
Stephan Snagg makes 2-foot dunk (Jake Blackburn assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 8:2054–75
Jack Karasinski makes 24-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:5156–75
Jeremiah Quigley makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 7:3056–78
LA Pratt makes 24-foot three point jumper (Aleksej Kostic assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:1156–80
Angelo Ciaravino makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Jake West assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:3256–81
Angelo Ciaravino makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4756–82
LA Pratt makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4756–83
LA Pratt makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0856–84
Phoenix Gill makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5658–84
Joul Karram makes 11-foot hook shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3958–86
Phoenix Gill makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1360–86
Jayden Lemond makes 7-foot floating jump shot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BING | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Godfrey F · #10 | 26 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Lilley C · #14 | 31 | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
 B. Montgomery Jr. G · #5 | 19 | 10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Quigley G · #0 | 22 | 9 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 E. Ashe G · #3 | 19 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 S. Snagg F · #13 | 11 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Karram C · #22 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
K K. Popovic G · #24 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
K K. Peyton G · #4 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 J. Blackburn G · #30 | 26 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 J. Kelsey G · #2 | 20 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Lemond G · #1 | 15 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Senghore F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Ibroci G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Robinson G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 21-52 | 5-18 | 13-15 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BING | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-52 | 29-52 |
| FG% | 40 | 56 |
| 3PT | 5-18 | 12-30 |
| 3P% | 28 | 40 |
| FT | 13-15 | 16-25 |
| FT% | 87 | 64 |
| REB | 23 | 34 |
| OR | 6 | 10 |
| DR | 17 | 24 |
| AST | 12 | 23 |
| STL | 3 | 5 |
| BLK | 1 | 3 |
| TO | 12 | 8 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 18 |
| FBPs | 2 | 14 |
| PIP | 22 | 32 |
| PF | 18 | 17 |
| LL | 0 | 28 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock BING 62.76–83.44 NU · NU by 20.7 pts vs BING +23.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissD. Godfrey · BING
26 MIN · 7 PTSO. Federiko · NU
23 MIN · 4 PTSJack Karasinski · NU
STAT · 28 MIN · 24 PTS · 8-12 FG · 7-11 3PTJake West · NU
STAT · 32 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-9 FG · 2-5 3PTLA Pratt · NU
STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-12 FG · 3-5 3PTAngelo Ciaravino · NU
STAT · 31 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-10 FG · 0-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Binghamton vs Northwestern pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BING +23.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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