NCAABFinalGill Coliseum

Eastern Washington Eagles at Oregon State Beavers

Final · YouTube

E Washington84–94Oregon St
E WashingtonOregon St
Final

Last shot · Isak Homelius makes 24-foot three point jumper (Malachi Richmond assists)

Eastern Washington Eagles
0-3 · W1
322 PF · 334 PA
84
Final
Final
Oregon State Beavers
3-0 · W4
373 PF · 278 PA
94
EWU 8%ORST 92%

At lock: projected EWU 73.54–90.07 ORST

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 266341355

Winner called · off by 14
Most typical sim
EWU 74 – ORST 90
Final
EWU 84 – ORST 94
  • Winner: Oregon St (93%)
  • Spread: EWU +17.5 covers (53%)
  • Total: Over 161.5 (63%)
  • Score error (both teams)14

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

EWU 73.54–90.07 ORST · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    ORST +14.5 off · EWU +8.4 off, shrunk 20%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to ORST
  • Record
    ORST 3-0 · EWU 0-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 70% toward ORST -17.5 / total 162.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
EWU374784
ORST494594

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 2:4073–87

    Daniel Freitag makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:4073–88

    Daniel Freitag makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:2673–89

    Xavion Staton makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1375–89

    Zach Trezvant makes 6-foot hook shot (Malachi Richmond assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3275–92

    Chris Johnson makes 25-foot three pointer

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2277–92

    Zach Trezvant makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:5877–93

    Daniel Freitag makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:5877–94

    Daniel Freitag makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4878–94

    Isak Homelius makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4879–94

    Isak Homelius makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:3081–94

    Zach Trezvant makes 1-foot dunk (Lance Horntvedt Jr. assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0784–94

    Isak Homelius makes 24-foot three point jumper (Malachi Richmond assists)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

EWUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
A
A. Hamilton IV
F · #4
2462-51-11-282130354
J. Miller
F · #6
32115-141-20-172100252
E. Marquardt
F · #33
27189-160-50-050201234
M
M. Richmond
G · #1
1561-40-14-414220014
T. Jackson
G · #2
2063-80-10-023100114
L
L. Horntvedt Jr.
F · #0
300-00-00-001000000
A
A. Hamilton
F · #44
721-20-00-000101002
S. Ngoyi
F · #35
621-10-00-010100012
Z
Z. Trezvant
C · #22
1163-30-00-060111422
I
I. Homelius
G · #12
14103-52-32-210010011
C
C. Scherer
G · #11
20103-113-71-213000103
J. Griffith
G · #7
1671-51-24-423020113
M. Monson
G · #10
500-10-00-020000110
A
A. Gballou
F · #55
—————————————
A. Cook
G · #9
—————————————
Team8432-758-2212-1537181093162131

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

EWUORST
FG32-7523-51
FG%4345
3PT8-2212-27
3P%3644
FT12-1536-44
FT%8082
REB3737
OR169
DR2128
AST1815
STL96
BLK39
TO1013
TTO00
ToTO1013
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG01
PTS OFF TO157
FBPs1417
PIP2622
PF3116
LL218
LC11
LPCT194
Computer pick · Spread
EWU +17.5
53%

At lock EWU 73.54–90.07 ORST · ORST by 16.5 pts vs EWU +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • A. Hamilton IV · EWU

    24 MIN · 6 PTS
  • D. Gory · ORST

    24 MIN · 8 PTS
  • Daniel Freitag · ORST

    STAT · 28 MIN · 21 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-6 3PT
  • Emmett Marquardt · EWU

    STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 9-16 FG · 0-5 3PT
  • Legend Smiley · ORST

    STAT · 29 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-11 FG · 5-9 3PT
  • Josiah Lake II · ORST

    STAT · 29 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-4 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

E Washington vs Oregon St pick result · Nov 9, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is EWU +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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