NCAABFinalMatthew Knight Arena

Eastern Washington Eagles at Oregon Ducks

Final · B1G+

E Washington71–98Oregon
E WashingtonOregon
Final

Last shot · Malachi Richmond misses 26-foot three point jumper

Eastern Washington Eagles
0-2 · W1
322 PF · 334 PA
71
Final
Final
Oregon Ducks
2-0 · W3
285 PF · 206 PA
98
EWU 10%ORE 90%

At lock: projected EWU 68.29–82.86 ORE

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 216008498

Winner called · off by 17
Most typical sim
EWU 69 – ORE 83
Final
EWU 71 – ORE 98
  • Winner: Oregon (90%)
  • Spread: EWU +16.5 covers (58%)
  • Total: Under 151.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)17

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

EWU 68.29–82.86 ORE · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    ORE +13.3 off · EWU +19.4 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to ORE
  • Record
    ORE 2-0 · EWU 0-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 85% toward ORE -16.5 / total 149.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
EWU393271
ORE534598

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 5:5361–87

    Ayden Hamilton makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 5:5362–87

    Ayden Hamilton makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4164–87

    Ayden Hamilton makes 9-foot hook shot

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 5:0464–89

    Pharaoh Compton makes 3-foot dunk (Dwayne Aristode assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3364–91

    Jasper Johnson makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 3:2864–92

    Tajh Ariza makes free throw 1 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1766–92

    Zach Trezvant makes layup (Malachi Richmond assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:0766–94

    Sean Stewart makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Jerry Easter II assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4469–94

    Maddox Monson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ayden Hamilton assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2671–94

    Ayden Hamilton makes layup (Maddox Monson assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:5271–96

    Seven Spurlock makes 1-foot dunk (Jerry Easter II assists)

  • TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:3071–98

    Tajh Ariza makes 0-foot tip in layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

EWUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
A
A. Hamilton IV
F · #4
25104-91-31-240000220
J. Miller
F · #6
26135-70-23-520330022
E. Marquardt
F · #33
2393-62-41-233100301
I
I. Homelius
G · #12
1721-40-30-010000102
C
C. Scherer
G · #11
1800-70-10-113130010
L
L. Horntvedt Jr.
F · #0
800-00-00-020101020
A
A. Hamilton
F · #44
1183-30-02-302000002
A
A. Gballou
F · #55
631-20-01-221100023
S. Ngoyi
F · #35
700-00-00-000000002
Z
Z. Trezvant
C · #22
821-30-00-120010110
M
M. Richmond
G · #1
22145-100-24-522320023
J. Griffith
G · #7
1751-21-22-222110021
M. Monson
G · #10
1252-51-40-001200001
T. Jackson
G · #2
—————————————
A. Cook
G · #9
—————————————
Team7126-585-2114-2324141310191517

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

EWUORE
FG26-5839-65
FG%4560
3PT5-219-25
3P%2436
FT14-2311-15
FT%6173
REB2438
OR910
DR1528
AST1426
STL1011
BLK14
TO1313
TTO00
ToTO1313
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG01
PTS OFF TO1312
FBPs1315
PIP3254
PF1721
LL228
LC22
LPCT191
Computer pick · Spread
EWU +16.5
52%

At lock EWU 68.29–82.86 ORE · ORE by 14.6 pts vs EWU +16.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • A. Hamilton IV · EWU

    25 MIN · 10 PTS
  • A. Meadow · ORE

    17 MIN · 8 PTS
  • Wei Lin · ORE

    STAT · 21 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-9 FG · 3-5 3PT
  • Fred Payne · ORE

    STAT · 25 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-9 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Malachi Richmond · EWU

    STAT · 22 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 0-2 3PT
  • Jamil Miller · EWU

    STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-7 FG · 0-2 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

E Washington vs Oregon pick result · Nov 6, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is EWU +16.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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