Lipscomb Bisons at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Final · ESPN+
79–86Last shot · Takai Simpkins makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected LIP 76.52–74.84 SEMO
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 584969021
- Winner: Lipscomb (56%)
- Spread: SEMO +2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 152.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LIP 76.52–74.84 SEMO · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSEMO +0.0 off · LIP +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SEMO
- Market priorBlended 72% toward LIP -1.5 / total 156.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 42 | 37 | 79 |
| SEMO | 40 | 46 | 86 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:1072–78
Drew Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1072–79
Drew Cooper makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:5772–80
Fontaine Williams Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:5772–81
Fontaine Williams Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4074–81
Takai Simpkins makes 15-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:3475–81
Devyn Martin makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0376–81
Takai Simpkins makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0377–81
Takai Simpkins makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5477–83
Drew Cooper makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3377–86
Drew Cooper makes 23-foot three point jumper (Fontaine Williams Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:1678–86
Takai Simpkins makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1679–86
Takai Simpkins makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LIP | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Martin F · #2 | 17 | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
 T. Sargiunas F · #26 | 31 | 12 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 H. Tidare G · #8 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 T. Simpkins G · #5 | 34 | 22 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 M. Esmeraldo G · #1 | 35 | 11 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 S. Dotson F · #21 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Scott F · #15 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Or Ashkenazi F · #6 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Okpara F · #3 | 20 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 L. Jack F · #0 | 10 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 T. Byrne F · #33 | 15 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
 V. Visnjic G · #7 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Z. Wells G · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Groth F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Loughridge F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Quinn G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 79 | 25-60 | 7-22 | 22-25 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LIP | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-60 | 34-71 |
| FG% | 42 | 48 |
| 3PT | 7-22 | 11-20 |
| 3P% | 32 | 55 |
| FT | 22-25 | 7-10 |
| FT% | 88 | 70 |
| REB | 33 | 38 |
| OR | 9 | 12 |
| DR | 24 | 26 |
| AST | 9 | 18 |
| STL | 5 | 7 |
| BLK | 1 | 6 |
| TO | 15 | 13 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 19 |
| FBPs | 13 | 9 |
| PIP | 34 | 40 |
| PF | 14 | 17 |
| LL | 9 | 9 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 52 | 42 |
At lock LIP 76.52–74.84 SEMO · LIP by 1.7 pts vs SEMO +2.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Martin · LIP
17 MIN · 13 PTSC. Jewell · SEMO
13 MIN · 4 PTSTakai Simpkins · LIP
STAT · 34 MIN · 22 PTS · 5-13 FG · 1-4 3PTDrew Cooper · SEMO
STAT · 20 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-5 3PTFontaine Williams Jr. · SEMO
STAT · 25 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-3 3PTPJ Farmer · SEMO
STAT · 19 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-10 FG · 3-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Lipscomb vs SE Missouri pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SEMO +2.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day