Utah Valley Wolverines at Weber State Wildcats
Final · ESPN+
101–93Last shot · Mason Abittan makes 0-foot tip in layup
At lock: projected UVU 81.48–75.09 WEB
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 12:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 775884683
- Winner: Utah Valley (71%)
- Spread: WEB +7.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 155.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)37
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UVU 81.48–75.09 WEB · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWEB +14.2 off · UVU +10.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WEB
- RecordWEB 0-2 · UVU 2-0
- Market priorBlended 71% toward UVU -7.5 / total 156.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 52 | 49 | 101 |
| WEB | 45 | 48 | 93 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2792–85
Isaac Hawkins makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1792–87
Mason Abittan makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0895–87
Tyler Weaver makes 23-foot three point jumper (Braden Housley assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:4497–87
Tyler Weaver makes 1-foot dunk
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:3497–89
Augustine Ekwe makes 3-foot dunk (Mason Abittan assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2897–90
Mason Abittan makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2897–91
Mason Abittan makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2798–91
Tyler Weaver makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2799–91
Tyler Weaver makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:08100–91
Braden Housley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:08101–91
Braden Housley makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:01101–93
Mason Abittan makes 0-foot tip in layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UVU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 I. Hawkins F · #23 | 24 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
 I. Davis F · #0 | 28 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 D. Nelson G · #3 | 30 | 18 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 8-13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 J. Barnes G · #2 | 28 | 15 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 B. Housley G · #9 | 27 | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Deng F · #6 | 16 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
 T. Weaver F · #11 | 18 | 21 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 T. Medaris F · #12 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 T. Davis G · #1 | 6 | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 AJ Dixon G · #24 | 8 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Weatherspoon IV G · #4 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Nekic F · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 O. Mowafak F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Babraitis G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Muchitsch G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Roberts G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 101 | 34-57 | 14-23 | 19-29 | 30 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UVU | WEB | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 34-57 | 32-67 |
| FG% | 60 | 48 |
| 3PT | 14-23 | 12-29 |
| 3P% | 61 | 41 |
| FT | 19-29 | 17-27 |
| FT% | 66 | 63 |
| REB | 30 | 36 |
| OR | 4 | 13 |
| DR | 26 | 23 |
| AST | 21 | 20 |
| STL | 12 | 6 |
| BLK | 7 | 3 |
| TO | 11 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 11 | 13 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 13 | 9 |
| FBPs | 14 | 12 |
| PIP | 36 | 36 |
| PF | 20 | 22 |
| LL | 12 | 3 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 91 | 4 |
At lock UVU 81.48–75.09 WEB · UVU by 6.4 pts vs WEB +7.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissI. Hawkins · UVU
24 MIN · 13 PTSD. Thompson · WEB
20 MIN · 5 PTSMason Abittan · WEB
STAT · 29 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-6 3PTTyler Weaver · UVU
STAT · 18 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-8 FG · 5-6 3PTArDarius Grayson · WEB
STAT · 23 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-11 FG · 4-7 3PTDominick Nelson · UVU
STAT · 30 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-11 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Utah Valley vs Weber St pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WEB +7.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day