Lafayette Leopards at Saint Joseph's Hawks
Final/OT · ESPN+
57–67Last shot · Khaafiq Myers makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected LAF 65.93–81.48 JOES
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 1:14 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4229250851
- Winner: Saint Joseph's (91%)
- Spread: LAF +17.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 146.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)24
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LAF 65.93–81.48 JOES · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseJOES +20.1 off · LAF +16.7 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to JOES
- RecordJOES 2-0 · LAF 1-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward JOES -15.5 / total 147.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 24 | 31 | 2 | 57 |
| JOES | 31 | 24 | 12 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 0:0853–55
Beckett Currie makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0355–55
Shareef Jackson makes layup
- JUMPSHOTOT 4:0257–55
Owen Kelly makes 11-foot jumper
- LAYUPSHOTOT 3:2157–57
Khaafiq Myers makes driving layup
- FTOT 3:1057–58
BJ Ranson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOTOT 2:5857–60
Jaiden Glover-Toscano makes driving layup (Khaafiq Myers assists)
- FTOT 2:0257–61
Khaafiq Myers makes free throw 1 of 2
- FTOT 2:0257–62
Khaafiq Myers makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOTOT 1:3257–64
BJ Ranson makes layup
- FTOT 1:3257–65
BJ Ranson makes free throw 1 of 1
- FTOT 0:0357–66
Khaafiq Myers makes free throw 1 of 2
- FTOT 0:0357–67
Khaafiq Myers makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LAF | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Gill F · #13 | 35 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 |
 S. Jackson F · #44 | 30 | 8 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
 O. Kelly G · #15 | 32 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 C. Kesler G · #0 | 41 | 23 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Currie G · #1 | 35 | 18 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
 K. Murdock F · #2 | 13 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Bednostin C · #33 | 13 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 S. Henton G · #3 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 P. D'Arcy G · #5 | 18 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 L. Azzinaro F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Bevilacqua F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Rasul F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Sievert G · #55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 AJ Collins G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Wallace G · #20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 F. Fayemi G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 57 | 20-56 | 7-27 | 10-11 | 41 | 7 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LAF | JOES | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-56 | 23-66 |
| FG% | 36 | 35 |
| 3PT | 7-27 | 3-22 |
| 3P% | 26 | 14 |
| FT | 10-11 | 18-31 |
| FT% | 91 | 58 |
| REB | 41 | 37 |
| OR | 6 | 10 |
| DR | 35 | 27 |
| AST | 7 | 10 |
| STL | 6 | 16 |
| BLK | 5 | 7 |
| TO | 25 | 11 |
| TTO | 4 | 1 |
| ToTO | 25 | 11 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 28 |
| FBPs | 2 | 20 |
| PIP | 20 | 36 |
| PF | 22 | 13 |
| LL | 5 | 11 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 18 | 72 |
At lock LAF 65.93–81.48 JOES · JOES by 15.5 pts vs LAF +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Gill · LAF
35 MIN · 4 PTSD. Kemper · JOES
11 MIN · 0-2 FGKhaafiq Myers · JOES
STAT · 36 MIN · 24 PTS · 8-18 FG · 0-3 3PTCooper Kesler · LAF
STAT · 41 MIN · 23 PTS · 8-15 FG · 4-7 3PTBeckett Currie · LAF
STAT · 35 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-12 FG · 3-8 3PTJaiden Glover-Toscano · JOES
STAT · 42 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-16 FG · 2-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Lafayette vs Saint Joseph's pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LAF +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day