Coppin State Eagles at George Mason Patriots
Final · ESPN+
51–68Last shot · Camaren Sparrow makes 6-foot jumper (Daveyon Lydner assists)
At lock: projected COPP 58.93–83.04 GMU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 4:55 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1858083362
- Winner: George Mason (98%)
- Spread: COPP +26.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 142.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)23
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COPP 58.93–83.04 GMU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGMU +16.9 off · COPP +20.5 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GMU
- RecordGMU 2-0 · COPP 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward GMU -27.5 / total 140.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COPP | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GMU | 46 | 22 | 68 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:4342–64
Makhai Valentine makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:5443–64
Tafara Gapare makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:5444–64
Tafara Gapare makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2444–65
Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0145–65
Favour Aire makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0146–65
Favour Aire makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0746–67
Malik Presley makes layup (Bryton Barrett assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2847–67
Baasil Saunders makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1447–68
Peyton Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4648–68
Daveyon Lydner makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4649–68
Daveyon Lydner makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1151–68
Camaren Sparrow makes 6-foot jumper (Daveyon Lydner assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| COPP | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 T. Gapare F · #11 | 22 | 12 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
 F. Aire C · #2 | 13 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
 J. Piercy G · #14 | 16 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Johnson G · #1 | 33 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Sparrow G · #10 | 24 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Shackleford G · #0 | 24 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 D. Lydner G · #7 | 13 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 H. Williams G · #4 | 12 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Brown G · #3 | 12 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Saunders G · #5 | 16 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 S. Djopmo G · #13 | 15 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 T. Koenig F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Lamizana F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Lawal F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Myers F · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Taylor F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 51 | 18-47 | 4-15 | 11-14 | 27 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COPP | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 18-47 | 23-51 |
| FG% | 38 | 45 |
| 3PT | 4-15 | 3-13 |
| 3P% | 27 | 23 |
| FT | 11-14 | 19-25 |
| FT% | 79 | 76 |
| REB | 27 | 31 |
| OR | 7 | 10 |
| DR | 20 | 21 |
| AST | 7 | 15 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 18 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 18 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 23 |
| FBPs | 2 | 17 |
| PIP | 12 | 36 |
| PF | 23 | 14 |
| LL | 0 | 25 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock COPP 58.93–83.04 GMU · GMU by 24.1 pts vs COPP +26.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitT. Gapare · COPP
22 MIN · 12 PTSE. Kanga · GMU
22 MIN · 11 PTSBaraka Okojie · GMU
STAT · 31 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-8 FG · 0-1 3PTShane Pendergrass · GMU
STAT · 18 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-8 FG · 1-3 3PTMakhai Valentine · GMU
STAT · 24 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-7 FG · 1-3 3PTBrendan Johnson · COPP
STAT · 33 MIN · 8 PTS · 4-9 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Coppin St vs George Mason pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is COPP +26.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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