Long Island University Sharks at Towson Tigers
Final · FloSports
46–66Last shot · Daquan Davis makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected LIU 67.45–72.96 TOW
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 709937169
- Winner: Towson (69%)
- Spread: LIU +6.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Under 141.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)29
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LIU 67.45–72.96 TOW · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTOW +13.1 off · LIU +2.5 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TOW
- RecordTOW 1-2 · LIU 0-4
- Market priorBlended 70% toward TOW -8.5 / total 140.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 28 | 18 | 46 |
| TOW | 38 | 28 | 66 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 8:3639–59
Jon Barton makes 17-foot step back jumpshot
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 7:0739–61
Alex Atkinson makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Christian Doerr assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5039–63
Zion Stanford makes layup
- FT2nd Half 5:0140–63
Daquan Davis makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3542–63
Daquan Davis makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 4:3543–63
Daquan Davis makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 3:0043–64
Caleb Embeya makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4544–64
Tyrell Bowles makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4244–65
Jon Barton makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4244–66
Jon Barton makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2045–66
Daquan Davis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2046–66
Daquan Davis makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LIU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 T. Bowles F · #10 | 26 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Johnson F · #4 | 25 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 R. Bewley F · #8 | 22 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
 V. Allette G · #0 | 29 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 D. Davis G · #5 | 34 | 19 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 X. Li F · #34 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Skinner G · #11 | 12 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
 M. Ndlovu-Fraser G · #6 | 12 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Pickett G · #2 | 30 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 K. Jones G · #24 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 T. Triplett Jr. F · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Bewley F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Howard F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Jean-Charles G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 46 | 15-54 | 3-26 | 13-18 | 30 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LIU | TOW | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 15-54 | 24-51 |
| FG% | 28 | 47 |
| 3PT | 3-26 | 6-10 |
| 3P% | 12 | 60 |
| FT | 13-18 | 12-27 |
| FT% | 72 | 44 |
| REB | 30 | 46 |
| OR | 10 | 15 |
| DR | 20 | 31 |
| AST | 6 | 10 |
| STL | 8 | 10 |
| BLK | 6 | 3 |
| TO | 15 | 15 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 15 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 13 |
| FBPs | 4 | 3 |
| PIP | 24 | 34 |
| PF | 20 | 19 |
| LL | 5 | 24 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 9 | 89 |
At lock LIU 67.45–72.96 TOW · TOW by 5.5 pts vs LIU +6.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissT. Bowles · LIU
26 MIN · 5 PTSC. Embeya · TOW
15 MIN · 3 PTSDaquan Davis · LIU
STAT · 34 MIN · 19 PTS · 5-12 FG · 1-4 3PTJaquan Womack · TOW
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-2 3PTZion Stanford · TOW
STAT · 28 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-10 FG · 2-3 3PTBen Roseborough · TOW
STAT · 31 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Long Island vs Towson pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LIU +6.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day