South Carolina State Bulldogs at Chicago State Cougars
Final
82–67Last shot · Foday Sheriff misses layup
At lock: projected SCST 73.92–74.35 CHST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3174117964
- Winner: Chicago St (52%)
- Spread: SCST +1.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 147.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)16
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SCST 73.92–74.35 CHST · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseCHST +12.9 off · SCST +9.7 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to CHST
- RecordCHST 1-2 · SCST 3-0
- Market priorBlended 70% toward CHST -2.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCST | 53 | 29 | 82 |
| CHST | 33 | 34 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:2275–60
Mike Price makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:2275–61
Mike Price makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0475–62
Foday Sheriff makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0475–63
Foday Sheriff makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1776–63
Teon Tindal makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0176–64
Malek Robinson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0176–65
Malek Robinson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4778–65
Mitchell Taylor makes layup (DeShaun Jackson Jr. assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3878–67
Mike Price makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:0880–67
Teon Tindal makes 6-foot dunk (Mitchell Taylor assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3581–67
Noah Treadwell makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3582–67
Noah Treadwell makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SCST | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Parker F · #55 | 18 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
 T. Tindal F · #13 | 20 | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
T T. Raymon F · #10 | 20 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 N. Treadwell G · #0 | 32 | 22 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Taylor G · #12 | 19 | 9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
A A. NGomabie F · #92 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
B B. Adams F · #23 | 6 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
J J. Pretty F · #6 | 8 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 D. Hodge Jr. F · #7 | 19 | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
C C. Barnes PG · #2 | 9 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Jackson Jr. PG · #1 | 30 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
C C. Everett Jr. G · #3 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
B B. Harris G · #4 | 13 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 B. Jackson G · #5 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J J. Cone G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 82 | 27-48 | 9-22 | 19-25 | 26 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 28 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SCST | CHST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-48 | 15-48 |
| FG% | 56 | 31 |
| 3PT | 9-22 | 7-23 |
| 3P% | 41 | 30 |
| FT | 19-25 | 30-36 |
| FT% | 76 | 83 |
| REB | 26 | 26 |
| OR | 4 | 10 |
| DR | 22 | 16 |
| AST | 21 | 7 |
| STL | 7 | 5 |
| BLK | 4 | 0 |
| TO | 16 | 16 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 16 | 16 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 13 |
| FBPs | 7 | 12 |
| PIP | 26 | 8 |
| PF | 28 | 22 |
| LL | 22 | 1 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 98 | 1 |
At lock SCST 73.92–74.35 CHST · CHST by 0.4 pts vs SCST +1.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Parker · SCST
18 MIN · 3 PTSD. Loury · CHST
16 MIN · 5 PTSMike Price · CHST
STAT · 30 MIN · 26 PTS · 6-18 FG · 2-8 3PTNoah Treadwell · SCST
STAT · 32 MIN · 22 PTS · 7-13 FG · 6-11 3PTTeon Tindal · SCST
STAT · 20 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 4-6 FTDerwin Hodge Jr. · SCST
STAT · 19 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-3 FG · 4-6 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SC State vs Chicago St pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SCST +1.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day