Incarnate Word Cardinals at Oklahoma State Cowboys
Final · ESPN+
60–91Last shot · Krisnan-Cole Ioane makes layup
At lock: projected UIW 66.63–90.75 OKST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2313218095
- Winner: Oklahoma St (99%)
- Spread: UIW +27.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Under 159.5 (61%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UIW 66.63–90.75 OKST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOKST +0.0 off · UIW +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OKST
- Market priorBlended 86% toward OKST -27.5 / total 162.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIW | 17 | 43 | 60 |
| OKST | 54 | 37 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:4548–83
Godswill Erheriene makes 3-foot dunk
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:0148–85
Luka Bogavac makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4250–85
Ismail Habib makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1950–87
Latrell Allmond makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3250–89
Parker Robinson makes layup (Luka Bogavac assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1352–89
Krisnan-Cole Ioane makes layup (Ismail Habib assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0152–90
Latrell Allmond makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0152–91
Latrell Allmond makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4754–91
Mekhi Conner makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2756–91
Christophe Pare makes 6-foot hook shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4558–91
Christophe Pare makes 4-foot hook shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0860–91
Krisnan-Cole Ioane makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UIW | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Goodwin F · #0 | 19 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 G. Erheriene F · #21 | 26 | 12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
 M. Conner G · #3 | 30 | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 B. McCreesh G · #24 | 30 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 I. Habib G · #5 | 23 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 K. Ioane F · #8 | 16 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Emetu F · #7 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Pare C · #35 | 18 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
 DJ Cason G · #10 | 10 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Thomas G · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Garcia-Plata G · #1 | 23 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
 T. Collins F · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Spencer F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Harvey G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Barbee G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 22-51 | 7-19 | 9-14 | 26 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UIW | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-51 | 29-65 |
| FG% | 43 | 45 |
| 3PT | 7-19 | 11-29 |
| 3P% | 37 | 38 |
| FT | 9-14 | 22-29 |
| FT% | 64 | 76 |
| REB | 26 | 38 |
| OR | 3 | 15 |
| DR | 23 | 23 |
| AST | 12 | 15 |
| STL | 1 | 10 |
| BLK | 9 | 6 |
| TO | 21 | 9 |
| TTO | 4 | 0 |
| ToTO | 21 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 27 |
| FBPs | 4 | 15 |
| PIP | 28 | 34 |
| PF | 21 | 20 |
| LL | 0 | 39 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock UIW 66.63–90.75 OKST · OKST by 24.1 pts vs UIW +27.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissD. Goodwin · UIW
19 MIN · 0-3 FGJ. Burks · OKST
17 MIN · 11 PTSMekhi Conner · UIW
STAT · 30 MIN · 18 PTS · 4-7 FG · 3-5 3PTLuka Bogavac · OKST
STAT · 15 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-5 3PTGodswill Erheriene · UIW
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 6-10 FG · 0-2 FTParker Robinson · OKST
STAT · 18 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-4 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Incarnate Word vs Oklahoma St pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UIW +27.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day