Nicholls Colonels at UAB Blazers
Final · ESPN+
63–70Last shot · Hunter Carter misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NICH 72.85–83.56 UAB
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 4:55 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2179291333
- Winner: UAB (82%)
- Spread: NICH +13.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Over 155.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)24
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NICH 72.85–83.56 UAB · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUAB +17.9 off · NICH +19.6 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UAB
- RecordUAB 1-1 · NICH 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward UAB -15.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| UAB | 36 | 34 | 70 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 2:4854–63
AJ Dent makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3954–64
Antallah Sandlin-El makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3954–65
Antallah Sandlin-El makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2955–65
Hunter Carter makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2956–65
Hunter Carter makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0557–65
Jared Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5857–67
Deuce Jones makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2960–67
Doyel Cockrill III makes 24-foot three point jumper (AJ Dent assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2760–68
Deuce Jones makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2760–69
Deuce Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2263–69
Hunter Carter makes 25-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:0563–70
Jeremy Elyzee makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NICH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AJ Dent F · #1 | 31 | 14 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
 J. Sileu F · #52 | 17 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 H. Carter G · #7 | 25 | 8 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
 D. Cockrill III G · #44 | 26 | 12 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 C. Winborne G · #2 | 20 | 7 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 J. Taylor F · #9 | 21 | 12 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 M. Mboup F · #0 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 AJ McPeters G · #13 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 J. Bruce G · #4 | 11 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Matthews G · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Simpson G · #6 | 10 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Sharp G · #5 | 23 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
 A. Arop F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Biteye G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 23-72 | 8-35 | 9-16 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NICH | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-72 | 21-55 |
| FG% | 32 | 38 |
| 3PT | 8-35 | 6-25 |
| 3P% | 23 | 24 |
| FT | 9-16 | 22-28 |
| FT% | 56 | 79 |
| REB | 38 | 50 |
| OR | 15 | 12 |
| DR | 23 | 38 |
| AST | 15 | 10 |
| STL | 12 | 5 |
| BLK | 1 | 3 |
| TO | 8 | 17 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 8 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 18 | 14 |
| FBPs | 15 | 22 |
| PIP | 30 | 26 |
| PF | 21 | 18 |
| LL | 3 | 13 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 92 |
At lock NICH 72.85–83.56 UAB · UAB by 10.7 pts vs NICH +13.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitAJ Dent · NICH
31 MIN · 14 PTSE. Duval · UAB
14 MIN · 6 PTSJustyn Fernandez · UAB
STAT · 28 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-12 FG · 1-8 3PTDeuce Jones · UAB
STAT · 32 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-14 FG · 1-4 3PTDoyel Cockrill III · NICH
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-12 FG · 2-8 3PTJared Taylor · NICH
STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Nicholls vs UAB pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NICH +13.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day