Nicholls Colonels at Tulane Green Wave
Final · ESPN+
63–77Last shot · Sheridan Sharp makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected NICH 73.43–79.54 TULN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 65561602
- Winner: Tulane (70%)
- Spread: NICH +7.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Over 151.5 (60%)
- Score error (both teams)14
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NICH 73.43–79.54 TULN · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTULN +10.4 off · NICH +10.0 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TULN
- RecordTULN 2-1 · NICH 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward TULN -8.5 / total 153.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH | 24 | 39 | 63 |
| TULN | 35 | 42 | 77 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2556–67
Christian Winborne makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:0856–68
KJ Greene makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5856–69
Krystian Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5856–70
Krystian Lewis makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5159–70
Christian Winborne makes 27-foot three point jumper (Sheridan Sharp assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1659–73
KJ Greene makes 30-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:4159–74
Krystian Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4159–75
Krystian Lewis makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3561–75
Sheridan Sharp makes layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:2961–77
Joah Chappelle makes 0-foot tip in dunk
- FT2nd Half 0:2262–77
Sheridan Sharp makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2263–77
Sheridan Sharp makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NICH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AJ Dent F · #1 | 38 | 16 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
 J. Sileu F · #52 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 D. Cockrill III G · #44 | 26 | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 S. Sharp G · #5 | 29 | 13 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Winborne G · #2 | 32 | 15 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Taylor F · #9 | 6 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Mboup F · #0 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Arop F · #24 | 20 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 C. Biteye G · #15 | 9 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 AJ McPeters G · #13 | 11 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Bruce G · #4 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Matthews G · #21 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Simpson G · #6 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 H. Carter G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 23-53 | 4-19 | 13-17 | 29 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NICH | TULN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-53 | 19-44 |
| FG% | 43 | 43 |
| 3PT | 4-19 | 9-18 |
| 3P% | 21 | 50 |
| FT | 13-17 | 30-38 |
| FT% | 76 | 79 |
| REB | 29 | 34 |
| OR | 8 | 9 |
| DR | 21 | 25 |
| AST | 7 | 10 |
| STL | 7 | 6 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 12 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 12 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 9 |
| FBPs | 5 | 5 |
| PIP | 34 | 18 |
| PF | 22 | 14 |
| LL | 5 | 16 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 10 | 88 |
At lock NICH 73.43–79.54 TULN · TULN by 6.1 pts vs NICH +7.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissAJ Dent · NICH
38 MIN · 16 PTSC. Schwieger · TULN
31 MIN · 8 PTSKrystian Lewis · TULN
STAT · 39 MIN · 35 PTS · 7-14 FG · 4-6 3PTChristian Winborne · NICH
STAT · 32 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-11 FG · 3-8 3PTSheridan Sharp · NICH
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-12 FG · 0-2 3PTTyler Ringgold · TULN
STAT · 23 MIN · 12 PTS · 2-5 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Nicholls vs Tulane pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NICH +7.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day