UL Monroe Warhawks at Arizona State Sun Devils
Final · ESPN+
62–92Last shot · Martins Adonry makes layup (Guillaume Schoentgen assists)
At lock: projected ULM 61.53–89.27 ASU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3367463974
- Winner: Arizona St (99%)
- Spread: ULM +32.5 covers (66%)
- Total: Over 150.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)4
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ULM 61.53–89.27 ASU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseASU +4.4 off · ULM +7.5 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ASU
- RecordASU 4-0 · ULM 1-4
- Market priorBlended 83% toward ASU -29.5 / total 148.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 22 | 40 | 62 |
| ASU | 47 | 45 | 92 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:0551–81
Phillip Tillman makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4151–84
Dillan Shaw makes 24-foot three point jumper (JRob Croy assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3053–84
Dayjaun Anderson makes 21-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1253–87
Ajak Nyuon makes 23-foot three point jumper (JRob Croy assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:4453–88
Dillan Shaw makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4453–89
Dillan Shaw makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2655–89
Khalil London makes 9-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4755–92
Ajak Nyuon makes 29-foot three point jumper (JRob Croy assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3157–92
Khalil London makes 8-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5559–92
Khalil London makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5560–92
Khalil London makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1662–92
Martins Adonry makes layup (Guillaume Schoentgen assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ULM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Carr F · #5 | 24 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
 Z. Ndancky C · #11 | 28 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 M. White G · #4 | 23 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 P. Tillman G · #2 | 32 | 12 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Anderson G · #1 | 34 | 17 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
 G. Schoentgen F · #20 | 15 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 G. Chamberlain F · #8 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Adonry C · #10 | 10 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Nelson G · #7 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. London G · #3 | 20 | 12 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 R. Cowherd G · #6 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Registe F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Lafleur C · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Campbell G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Q. McPherson G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 62 | 20-59 | 6-18 | 16-19 | 35 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ULM | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-59 | 34-75 |
| FG% | 34 | 45 |
| 3PT | 6-18 | 15-44 |
| 3P% | 33 | 34 |
| FT | 16-19 | 9-13 |
| FT% | 84 | 69 |
| REB | 35 | 48 |
| OR | 12 | 20 |
| DR | 23 | 28 |
| AST | 5 | 23 |
| STL | 4 | 4 |
| BLK | 0 | 5 |
| TO | 14 | 8 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 3 | 25 |
| FBPs | 17 | 16 |
| PIP | 24 | 32 |
| PF | 16 | 16 |
| LL | 5 | 41 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 13 | 85 |
At lock ULM 61.53–89.27 ASU · ASU by 27.7 pts vs ULM +32.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock
HitL. Carr · ULM
24 MIN · 2 PTSP. Murauskas · ASU
30 MIN · 31 PTSDayjaun Anderson · ULM
STAT · 34 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-18 FG · 3-9 3PTJoel Foxwell · ASU
STAT · 29 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-13 FG · 4-10 3PTZiyade Ndancky · ULM
STAT · 28 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-2 3PTPhillip Tillman · ULM
STAT · 32 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-12 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UL Monroe vs Arizona St pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ULM +32.5, with a 59% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day