Portland State Vikings at Seattle U Redhawks
Final · ESPN+
60–79Last shot · Antonio Pusateri makes layup (Nehemiah Pollard assists)
At lock: projected PRST 68.05–76.58 SEA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 12:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 674428042
- Winner: Seattle U (78%)
- Spread: PRST +10.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 144.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)10
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
PRST 68.05–76.58 SEA · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSEA +6.1 off · PRST +22.1 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SEA
- RecordSEA 1-1 · PRST 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward SEA -10.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRST | 28 | 32 | 60 |
| SEA | 28 | 51 | 79 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:1451–69
Nehemiah Pollard makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:5351–71
Will Heimbrodt makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 3:5351–72
Will Heimbrodt makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1551–74
Tyler Boston makes 8-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0153–74
Trevor Frank makes layup (Luke Kearney assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3953–76
Tyler Boston makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1955–76
Nehemiah Pollard makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:1956–76
Nehemiah Pollard makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5456–78
Tyler Boston makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5856–79
Halvine Dzellat makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5058–79
Antonio Pusateri makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2460–79
Antonio Pusateri makes layup (Nehemiah Pollard assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PRST | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Kearney F · #2 | 20 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 KC Ibekwe C · #17 | 15 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 T. Frank G · #5 | 18 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 Y. Nikonov G · #0 | 28 | 16 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 E. Skytt G · #8 | 14 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 A. Pusateri F · #24 | 6 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 F. Corato F · #6 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Randolph F · #23 | 30 | 10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
 C. Chukwu F · #7 | 10 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 G. Krianauskas G · #22 | 25 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 N. Pollard G · #4 | 15 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Johnson III G · #1 | 16 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 C. Ness G · #10 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Skliros F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Barron F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Johnson G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 20-57 | 5-20 | 15-24 | 30 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PRST | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-57 | 27-52 |
| FG% | 35 | 52 |
| 3PT | 5-20 | 4-13 |
| 3P% | 25 | 31 |
| FT | 15-24 | 21-30 |
| FT% | 63 | 70 |
| REB | 30 | 39 |
| OR | 12 | 11 |
| DR | 18 | 28 |
| AST | 7 | 8 |
| STL | 3 | 7 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 13 | 12 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 12 |
| FBPs | 0 | 13 |
| PIP | 28 | 42 |
| PF | 26 | 22 |
| LL | 3 | 23 |
| LC | 12 | 12 |
| LPCT | 16 | 70 |
At lock PRST 68.05–76.58 SEA · SEA by 8.5 pts vs PRST +10.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissL. Kearney · PRST
20 MIN · 7 PTSW. Heimbrodt · SEA
31 MIN · 18 PTSMason Williams · SEA
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-11 FG · 2-5 3PTYaroslav Nikonov · PRST
STAT · 28 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-14 FG · 2-6 3PTHalvine Dzellat · SEA
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-6 FG · 5-7 FTJaquay Randolph · PRST
STAT · 30 MIN · 10 PTS · 2-7 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Portland St vs Seattle U pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is PRST +10.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day