Towson Tigers at Santa Clara Broncos
Final · ESPN+
70–89Last shot · Stephon Ashley Wright misses free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected TOW 67.49–80.43 SCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 640725709
- Winner: Santa Clara (87%)
- Spread: TOW +14.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Under 148.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)10
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
TOW 67.49–80.43 SCU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSCU +0.0 off · TOW +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SCU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward SCU -13.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| SCU | 43 | 46 | 89 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:1963–79
Brad Longcor III makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:1963–80
Brad Longcor III makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0264–80
Ben Roseborough makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5364–82
Elijah Mahi makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:2464–83
Fedor Zugic makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2464–84
Fedor Zugic makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0067–84
Jon Barton makes 25-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4767–86
Fedor Zugic makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:2668–86
Jon Barton makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1370–86
Mani Sajid makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4170–88
Brayde Kuykendall makes layup (Noah Badibanga assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2970–89
Thierry Darlan makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TOW | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Embeya F · #23 | 20 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 J. Womack G · #24 | 30 | 15 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
 C. Doerr G · #2 | 20 | 7 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
 Z. Stanford G · #1 | 33 | 15 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Roseborough G · #11 | 19 | 7 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 A. Atkinson F · #12 | 18 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Kirk F · #4 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. Holmes F · #30 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Williams Crawford G · #15 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Ashley Wright G · #0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Barton G · #5 | 25 | 10 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 M. Sajid G · #3 | 9 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Ndefo G · #13 | 18 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
 D. Badalau F · #27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Skerry G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 70 | 23-63 | 7-25 | 17-28 | 41 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 23 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TOW | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-63 | 28-62 |
| FG% | 37 | 45 |
| 3PT | 7-25 | 14-33 |
| 3P% | 28 | 42 |
| FT | 17-28 | 19-22 |
| FT% | 61 | 86 |
| REB | 41 | 38 |
| OR | 18 | 11 |
| DR | 23 | 27 |
| AST | 10 | 21 |
| STL | 6 | 9 |
| BLK | 2 | 6 |
| TO | 14 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 15 |
| FBPs | 9 | 14 |
| PIP | 26 | 28 |
| PF | 21 | 23 |
| LL | 2 | 20 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 2 | 96 |
At lock TOW 67.49–80.43 SCU · SCU by 12.9 pts vs TOW +14.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissC. Embeya · TOW
20 MIN · 5 PTSC. Tadjo · SCU
19 MIN · 10 PTSBrad Longcor III · SCU
STAT · 24 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-9 FG · 3-5 3PTSash Gavalyugov · SCU
STAT · 26 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-12 FG · 4-9 3PTJaquan Womack · TOW
STAT · 30 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-13 FG · 2-4 3PTZion Stanford · TOW
STAT · 33 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-14 FG · 1-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Towson vs Santa Clara pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TOW +14.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day