UTSA Roadrunners at San José State Spartans
Final · MW+
74–95Last shot · Isaiah Watts misses 9-foot pullup jump shot
At lock: projected UTSA 71.93–79.00 SJSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2796842850
- Winner: San José St (73%)
- Spread: UTSA +8.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (63%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UTSA 71.93–79.00 SJSU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSJSU +0.0 off · UTSA +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SJSU
- Market priorBlended 72% toward SJSU -7.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 27 | 47 | 74 |
| SJSU | 45 | 50 | 95 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2767–82
Jayson Peterson makes layup (Shey Eberwein assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5467–84
KJ Martin Jr. makes layup (JaVaughn Hannah assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:4868–84
Jayson Peterson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4869–84
Jayson Peterson makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3969–85
Mekhi Mason makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2069–88
Mekhi Mason makes 25-foot three point jumper (Joey Chammaa assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0271–88
Shey Eberwein makes 12-foot pullup jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4971–90
Robert Vaihola makes layup (Mekhi Mason assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0671–93
JaVaughn Hannah makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mookie Cook assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5474–93
Shey Eberwein makes 34-foot three point jumper (Dorian Hayes assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:4274–94
Mekhi Mason makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4274–95
Mekhi Mason makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Okpukpara F · #13 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 JJ Kelly G · #1 | 18 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 P. Turner G · #10 | 20 | 15 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
 KJ Tenner G · #3 | 31 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 I. Watts G · #12 | 26 | 6 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Peterson F · #8 | 22 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 M. Broxton Jr. F · #7 | 10 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. LeGree G · #0 | 16 | 7 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 D. Hayes G · #4 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Eberwein G · #2 | 19 | 15 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 I. Coleman G · #21 | 13 | 12 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 D. Williams G · #5 | 11 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 K. Taylor F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Smith F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Price G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 74 | 27-63 | 12-34 | 8-13 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UTSA | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-63 | 33-56 |
| FG% | 43 | 59 |
| 3PT | 12-34 | 10-26 |
| 3P% | 35 | 38 |
| FT | 8-13 | 19-22 |
| FT% | 62 | 86 |
| REB | 22 | 43 |
| OR | 9 | 13 |
| DR | 13 | 30 |
| AST | 16 | 24 |
| STL | 11 | 9 |
| BLK | 2 | 1 |
| TO | 14 | 21 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 14 | 21 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 21 | 18 |
| FBPs | 12 | 19 |
| PIP | 28 | 46 |
| PF | 19 | 15 |
| LL | 3 | 27 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 10 | 87 |
At lock UTSA 71.93–79.00 SJSU · SJSU by 7.1 pts vs UTSA +8.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissC. Okpukpara · UTSA
8 MIN · 0-3 FGZ. Eddine Bedri · SJSU
13 MIN · 6 PTSJoey Chammaa · SJSU
STAT · 36 MIN · 27 PTS · 6-9 FG · 3-4 3PTMekhi Mason · SJSU
STAT · 31 MIN · 26 PTS · 8-16 FG · 5-11 3PTPreston Turner · UTSA
STAT · 20 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-15 FG · 4-11 3PTShey Eberwein · UTSA
STAT · 19 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-5 FG · 2-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UTSA vs San José St pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UTSA +8.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day