Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Saint Louis Billikens
Final · ESPN+
67–92Last shot · Colton Watson makes 2-foot dunk (Chris Tshibola assists)
At lock: projected LEH 65.34–86.88 SLU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 740305521
- Winner: Saint Louis (97%)
- Spread: LEH +24.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LEH 65.34–86.88 SLU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSLU +0.0 off · LEH +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SLU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward SLU -26.5 / total 159.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEH | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| SLU | 48 | 44 | 92 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:5157–84
Peter Kramer makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5158–84
Peter Kramer makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:2958–86
Sheek Pearson makes 1-foot dunk (Trey Green assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:1159–86
Colton Watson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:1160–86
Colton Watson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0960–88
Cam Hutson makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0562–88
Peter Kramer makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:0563–88
Peter Kramer makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3763–90
Elijah Strong makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5263–92
Jamison White makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3865–92
Carter Cohen makes layup (Chris Tshibola assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:0867–92
Colton Watson makes 2-foot dunk (Chris Tshibola assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LEH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Rudusans F · #9 | 10 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 H. Alvey C · #35 | 25 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 J. Vazquez G · #1 | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 P. Kramer G · #25 | 15 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Ingram G · #4 | 25 | 11 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 N. Djanogly F · #18 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Addesa F · #15 | 13 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 E. Benoit F · #5 | 21 | 9 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 C. Cohen C · #11 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Watson G · #14 | 9 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
 C. Tshibola G · #7 | 20 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 C. Thomas G · #10 | 21 | 12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Burrows G · #2 | 10 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Urosevic G · #0 | 14 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Pike F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 67 | 21-58 | 5-27 | 20-27 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LEH | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-58 | 33-55 |
| FG% | 36 | 60 |
| 3PT | 5-27 | 8-23 |
| 3P% | 19 | 35 |
| FT | 20-27 | 18-27 |
| FT% | 74 | 67 |
| REB | 32 | 38 |
| OR | 10 | 6 |
| DR | 22 | 32 |
| AST | 13 | 14 |
| STL | 8 | 9 |
| BLK | 0 | 6 |
| TO | 12 | 10 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 22 |
| FBPs | 2 | 17 |
| PIP | 24 | 50 |
| PF | 20 | 21 |
| LL | 2 | 31 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 94 |
At lock LEH 65.34–86.88 SLU · SLU by 21.5 pts vs LEH +24.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissR. Rudusans · LEH
10 MIN · 0-3 FGA. Michaeli · SLU
17 MIN · 11 PTSQuentin Jones · SLU
STAT · 27 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-3 3PTKellen Thames · SLU
STAT · 21 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-6 FG · 3-7 FTCaleb Thomas · LEH
STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-6 FG · 0-1 3PTJoshua Ingram · LEH
STAT · 25 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-8 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Lehigh vs Saint Louis pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LEH +24.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day