Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams
Final · ESPN+
63–83Last shot · Anquan Boldin Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1
At lock: projected STO 61.61–79.53 FOR
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 6:04 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4033121502
- Winner: Fordham (94%)
- Spread: STO +20.5 covers (60%)
- Total: Under 141.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)4
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
STO 61.61–79.53 FOR · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseFOR +16.2 off · STO +12.1 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to FOR
- RecordFOR 1-1 · STO 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward FOR -19.5 / total 141.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| FOR | 30 | 53 | 83 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:2055–73
Amir Lindsey makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:3855–75
Rikus Schulte makes 2-foot dunk (Abass Bodija assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:2456–75
Kemar Grant makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:2457–75
Kemar Grant makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0957–77
Amir Lindsey makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4657–79
Lateef Patrick Jr. makes 12-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:4857–80
Hassan Koureissi makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4857–81
Hassan Koureissi makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3660–81
Pearse McGuinn makes 24-foot three point jumper (Anquan Boldin Jr. assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2160–83
Frank Siaca Bey makes layup (Desmond Bellot Jr. assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1762–83
Anquan Boldin Jr. makes 8-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:1763–83
Anquan Boldin Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| STO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 P. McGuinn F · #31 | 23 | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 E. Steele F · #20 | 22 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 T. Ruth G · #2 | 30 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 E. Greenberg G · #1 | 21 | 11 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 F. Patino G · #12 | 25 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Medalie F · #5 | 24 | 12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 K. Grant G · #10 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 A. Allen G · #11 | 11 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 A. Boldin Jr. G · #4 | 28 | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 W. Batchelder G · #3 | 12 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Leons F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Cheng C · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Langley G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Byrne G · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Jenpa G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Arlington G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 21-53 | 6-22 | 15-20 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| STO | FOR | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-53 | 32-59 |
| FG% | 40 | 54 |
| 3PT | 6-22 | 7-18 |
| 3P% | 27 | 39 |
| FT | 15-20 | 12-15 |
| FT% | 75 | 80 |
| REB | 27 | 36 |
| OR | 10 | 11 |
| DR | 17 | 25 |
| AST | 11 | 15 |
| STL | 4 | 12 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 16 | 13 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 16 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 5 | 26 |
| FBPs | 7 | 17 |
| PIP | 28 | 48 |
| PF | 15 | 18 |
| LL | 4 | 24 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 19 | 72 |
At lock STO 61.61–79.53 FOR · FOR by 17.9 pts vs STO +20.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitP. McGuinn · STO
23 MIN · 5 PTSA. Bodija · FOR
17 MIN · 9 PTSLateef Patrick Jr. · FOR
STAT · 28 MIN · 22 PTS · 7-13 FG · 4-8 3PTRikus Schulte · FOR
STAT · 27 MIN · 16 PTS · 8-11 FG · 10 REBAmir Lindsey · FOR
STAT · 31 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-9 FG · 2-4 3PTJack Medalie · STO
STAT · 24 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Stonehill vs Fordham pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is STO +20.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day